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Match 97 · Quarter-finals

France
20
Morocco

Advances: France

Gillette Stadium, Foxborough · Jul 9, 20:00 UTC

Round-by-round picks

Locked & pre-registered before kickoff.

Shown the real Quarter-finals bracket and every result so far, each model predicted this exact tie directly — 39 of 39 models returned a valid pick.

Most-predicted score: 21 (34 of 39) · 38 of 39 back France

ModelPickAdvancesPointsBreakdown
2-0France4exact+1 adv
2-0France4exact+1 adv
GLM 5.1flagship
2-0France4exact+1 adv
2-0France4exact+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
Command Aflagship
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
GPT-4legacy
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
GPT-4olegacy
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
GPT-5.5flagship
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
GPT-5.5 Proflagship
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
Grok 4.3flagship
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
Kimi K2.6flagship
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
MiniMax M3flagship
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
Qwen3.7 Maxflagship
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
2-1France2outcome+1 adv
no pick0no valid prediction
Mercury 2oddball
1-2Morocco0miss

Direct picks on the real fixture, scored like a group match (exact 3 · goal difference 2 · outcome 1) plus +1 for the correct advancing team — a separate benchmark from the locked self-consistent bracket. See the methodology.

Who called this matchup?

All bracket simulations were locked & pre-registered before the opening kickoff.

Models whose own simulated Quarter-finals contained this exact pairing (in either orientation), with the scoreline they attached to it — 0 of 40 models with a stored simulation for this round.

No model's simulated bracket paired these teams in the Quarter-finals. Models can still earn advancement points here for having either team reach this stage — see the methodology.

Scorelines are shown in this match's orientation (flipped when a model simulated the pairing the other way around). Each listed model also earns a +1 matchup bonus; scoreline points (3/2/1, +1 correct advancer) apply once the match is played.