Grok 4.20

mid

xAI · x-ai/grok-4.20

Knowledge cutoff: not published · context 2,000,000 tokens

Total points

0

Rank

Group pts

0

Bracket pts

0

Exact

0

Champion pick

Brazil

Predicted group tables

The group stage exactly as this model imagined it, computed from its own 72 predicted scorelines with FIFA tiebreakers. Green rows qualify directly, blue rows are its eight best third-placed teams (slotted into the Round of 32 via FIFA's Annexe C table).

Group A

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Czech Republic7+25
2 Mexico6+15
3 South Korea404
4 South Africa0-33

Group B

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Switzerland9+45
2 Canada4+14
3 Qatar2-12
4 Bosnia and Herzegovina1-41

Group C

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Brazil9+89
2 Scotland404
3 Morocco4-23
4 Haiti0-62

Group D

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 United States9+57
2 Turkey6+15
3 Australia3-23
4 Paraguay0-43

Group E

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Germany9+810
2 Ecuador404
3 Ivory Coast404
4 Curaçao0-80

Group F

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Netherlands9+67
2 Sweden404
3 Japan2-22
4 Tunisia1-42

Group G

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Belgium9+78
2 Egypt404
3 Iran403
4 New Zealand0-70

Group H

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Spain9+89
2 Uruguay6+46
3 Saudi Arabia3-23
4 Cape Verde0-100

Group I

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Norway7+25
2 France6+36
3 Senegal2-13
4 Iraq1-42

Group J

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Argentina9+88
2 Austria6+14
3 Algeria3-32
4 Jordan0-60

Group K

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Colombia9+46
2 Portugal6+46
3 DR Congo1-42
4 Uzbekistan1-41

Group L

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 England9+67
2 Ghana604
3 Croatia1-23
4 Panama1-42

Predicted bracket

The knockout tournament that follows from this model's own predictions: each card is a simulated pairing with the model's predicted 90-minute score (the advancing team is highlighted; “adv” marks a predicted draw decided after 90 minutes).

Round of 32

M73

Mexico1
Canada1

adv: Mexico

M74

Germany3
Morocco0

M75

Netherlands2
Scotland1

M76

Brazil3
Sweden0

M77

Norway2
Australia0

M78

Ecuador1
France2

M79

Czech Republic2
Saudi Arabia0

M80

England2
Senegal0

M81

United States3
Algeria1

M82

Belgium2
South Korea0

M83

Portugal1
Ghana1

adv: Portugal

M84

Spain2
Austria1

M85

Switzerland1
Iran0

M86

Argentina2
Uruguay1

M87

Colombia2
Ivory Coast0

M88

Turkey1
Egypt1

adv: Egypt

Round of 16

M89

Germany2
Norway1

M90

Mexico1
Netherlands2

M91

Brazil2
France1

M92

Czech Republic0
England1

M93

Portugal1
Spain1

adv: Spain

M94

United States2
Belgium2

adv: United States

M95

Argentina3
Egypt1

M96

Switzerland1
Colombia0

Quarter-finals

M97

Germany2
Netherlands1

M98

Spain2
United States1

M99

Brazil2
England0

M100

Argentina1
Switzerland1

adv: Argentina

Semi-finals

M101

Germany1
Spain1

adv: Germany

M102

Brazil2
Argentina1

Final

M104

Germany1
Brazil1

adv: Brazil

Predicted champion

Brazil

Third-place match

M103

Spain1
Argentina1

adv: Argentina

Bracket points

Advancement

0

Matchups called

0

Matched scorelines

0

Bracket total

0

Scored against the real knockout tournament: advancement points for every real team this model had reaching each stage (R32 1 · R16 2 · QF 3 · SF 5 · final 8 · champion 13), +1 for each simulated pairing that actually occurs in that round, and matched pairings' scorelines scored like normal matches (3/2/1, +1 correct advancer). The real bracket doesn't exist yet — everything sits at 0 and starts paying out automatically once the real Round of 32 is set.

Collection runs

StageParamsAttemptsCost
Group stage{"temperature":0}1$0.0049
Round of 32{"temperature":0}1$0.0025
Round of 16{"temperature":0}1$0.0022
Quarter-finals{"temperature":0}1$0.0020
Semi-finals{"temperature":0}1$0.0019
Third-place match{"temperature":0}1$0.0019
Final{"temperature":0}1$0.0020

Group-stage predictions

#MatchPredictedActualPtsBreakdown
1 Mexicov South AfricaJun 112-1upcoming
2 South Koreav Czech RepublicJun 121-1upcoming
3 Canadav Bosnia and HerzegovinaJun 122-0upcoming
4 United Statesv ParaguayJun 133-1upcoming
5 Haitiv ScotlandJun 141-2upcoming
6 Australiav TurkeyJun 141-2upcoming
7 Brazilv MoroccoJun 133-0upcoming
8 Qatarv SwitzerlandJun 130-1upcoming
9 Ivory Coastv EcuadorJun 141-1upcoming
10 Germanyv CuraçaoJun 144-0upcoming
11 Netherlandsv JapanJun 142-0upcoming
12 Swedenv TunisiaJun 152-1upcoming
13 Saudi Arabiav UruguayJun 150-2upcoming
14 Spainv Cape VerdeJun 154-0upcoming
15 Iranv New ZealandJun 162-0upcoming
16 Belgiumv EgyptJun 153-1upcoming
17 Francev SenegalJun 162-1upcoming
18 Iraqv NorwayJun 161-2upcoming
19 Argentinav AlgeriaJun 173-0upcoming
20 Austriav JordanJun 172-0upcoming
21 Ghanav PanamaJun 172-1upcoming
22 Englandv CroatiaJun 172-1upcoming
23 Portugalv DR CongoJun 173-0upcoming
24 Uzbekistanv ColombiaJun 180-2upcoming
25 Czech Republicv South AfricaJun 182-1upcoming
26 Switzerlandv Bosnia and HerzegovinaJun 182-0upcoming
27 Canadav QatarJun 181-1upcoming
28 Mexicov South KoreaJun 192-1upcoming
29 Brazilv HaitiJun 204-0upcoming
30 Scotlandv MoroccoJun 191-1upcoming
31 Turkeyv ParaguayJun 202-1upcoming
32 United Statesv AustraliaJun 192-0upcoming
33 Germanyv Ivory CoastJun 203-1upcoming
34 Ecuadorv CuraçaoJun 212-0upcoming
35 Netherlandsv SwedenJun 202-1upcoming
36 Tunisiav JapanJun 211-1upcoming
37 Uruguayv Cape VerdeJun 213-0upcoming
38 Spainv Saudi ArabiaJun 213-0upcoming
39 Belgiumv IranJun 212-0upcoming
40 New Zealandv EgyptJun 220-2upcoming
41 Norwayv SenegalJun 231-1upcoming
42 Francev IraqJun 223-0upcoming
43 Argentinav AustriaJun 222-0upcoming
44 Jordanv AlgeriaJun 230-1upcoming
45 Englandv GhanaJun 232-0upcoming
46 Panamav CroatiaJun 231-1upcoming
47 Portugalv UzbekistanJun 232-0upcoming
48 Colombiav DR CongoJun 242-1upcoming
49 Scotlandv BrazilJun 241-2upcoming
50 Moroccov HaitiJun 242-1upcoming
51 Switzerlandv CanadaJun 242-1upcoming
52 Bosnia and Herzegovinav QatarJun 241-1upcoming
53 Czech Republicv MexicoJun 252-1upcoming
54 South Africav South KoreaJun 251-2upcoming
55 Curaçaov Ivory CoastJun 250-2upcoming
56 Ecuadorv GermanyJun 251-3upcoming
57 Japanv SwedenJun 251-1upcoming
58 Tunisiav NetherlandsJun 250-3upcoming
59 Turkeyv United StatesJun 261-2upcoming
60 Paraguayv AustraliaJun 261-2upcoming
61 Norwayv FranceJun 262-1upcoming
62 Senegalv IraqJun 261-1upcoming
63 Egyptv IranJun 271-1upcoming
64 New Zealandv BelgiumJun 270-3upcoming
65 Cape Verdev Saudi ArabiaJun 270-3upcoming
66 Uruguayv SpainJun 271-2upcoming
67 Panamav EnglandJun 270-3upcoming
68 Croatiav GhanaJun 271-2upcoming
69 Algeriav AustriaJun 281-2upcoming
70 Jordanv ArgentinaJun 280-3upcoming
71 Colombiav PortugalJun 272-1upcoming
72 DR Congov UzbekistanJun 271-1upcoming

“—” in the Predicted column means the model returned no valid prediction for that match (scores 0 once played). Knockout predictions live in the bracket above — they score via the bracket component, not match-by-match. Raw request/response logs for this model are published in the data exports.