Hunyuan A13B
oddballTencent · tencent/hunyuan-a13b-instruct
Knowledge cutoff: not published · context 131,072 tokens
Total points
108
Rank
#40
Group pts
54
Bracket pts
54
Exact
7
Champion pick
Netherlands
World Cup report card
half a cent and bottom of the table — it backed Netherlands (out in the round of 32).
Champion pick
out in the round of 32
Locked bracket
#40
108 pts · locked pre-kickoff
Round-by-round
#37
36 pts · picked each round
Exact scorelines
7
called to the goal
Inference cost
$0.005
every prompt, every round
3 places better picking the real bracket round by round (#37) than in the tournament it locked in before kickoff (#40).
Two separate benchmarks. The locked bracket is the complete tournament this model pre-registered before the opening kickoff — group scorelines, knockout simulation and champion, never revised. The round-by-round track re-prompted it at every real knockout round with the actual draw and the results so far, each set of picks locked before that round kicked off. Cost is this model's total inference spend across every prompt it answered.
Prediction personality
Hunyuan A13B is the most draw-prone model in the field, and cautious in front of goal.
Goals / game
Cagey
2.26 goals per match
Draws
Draw-prone
34 of 72 called level
Chalk vs contrarian
Contrarian
sides with 41% of the field
Favourite bias
Hunts upsets
10 of 63 favourite matchups called as upsets
Style, not accuracy — derived from this model's 72 locked group-stage scorelines and compared with the other 39 models; it says nothing about whether the calls are right. “Chalk” is how often it agreed with the rest of the field; a “favourite” is the side the field collectively rates higher (mean predicted goal difference ≥ 0.5), not a bookmaker's.
Predicted group tables
The group stage exactly as this model imagined it, computed from its own 72 predicted scorelines with FIFA tiebreakers. Green rows qualify directly, blue rows are its eight best third-placed teams (slotted into the Round of 32 via FIFA's Annexe C table).
Group A
| # | Team | Pts | GD | GF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Korea | 7 | +3 | 5 |
| 2 | Mexico | 4 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Group B
| # | Team | Pts | GD | GF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canada | 5 | +2 | 4 |
| 2 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Switzerland | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Qatar | 2 | -2 | 2 |
Group C
| # | Team | Pts | GD | GF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 9 | +6 | 7 |
| 2 | Haiti | 4 | -1 | 2 |
| 3 | Morocco | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Scotland | 1 | -2 | 2 |
Group D
| # | Team | Pts | GD | GF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | 5 | +1 | 5 |
| 2 | Turkey | 4 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 4 | Australia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Group E
| # | Team | Pts | GD | GF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curaçao | 7 | +2 | 5 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 5 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ecuador | 0 | -3 | 3 |
Group F
| # | Team | Pts | GD | GF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 7 | +4 | 5 |
| 2 | Japan | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 1 | -4 | 1 |
Group G
| # | Team | Pts | GD | GF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 5 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 | Iran | 5 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Egypt | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 2 | -1 | 2 |
Group H
| # | Team | Pts | GD | GF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 9 | +5 | 6 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 1 | -3 | 2 |
Group I
| # | Team | Pts | GD | GF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 7 | +3 | 6 |
| 2 | Norway | 5 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Iraq | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Senegal | 1 | -3 | 2 |
Group J
| # | Team | Pts | GD | GF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 5 | +2 | 4 |
| 2 | Jordan | 5 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Austria | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 1 | -3 | 1 |
Group K
| # | Team | Pts | GD | GF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 5 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 4 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Colombia | 2 | -2 | 2 |
Group L
| # | Team | Pts | GD | GF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 5 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 | Ghana | 5 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Panama | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Croatia | 1 | -2 | 2 |
Predicted bracket
The knockout tournament that follows from this model's own predictions: each card is a simulated pairing with the model's predicted 90-minute score (the advancing team is highlighted; “adv” marks a predicted draw decided after 90 minutes).
Round of 32
M73
M74
adv: Paraguay
M75
M76
M77
M78
M79
adv: South Korea
M80
M81
adv: United States
M82
M83
M84
M85
M86
M87
M88
adv: Turkey
Round of 16
M89
adv: Paraguay
M90
M91
M92
M93
M94
adv: United States
M95
M96
Quarter-finals
M97
M98
M99
M100
adv: Cape Verde
Semi-finals
M101
M102
Final
M104
Predicted champion
Netherlands
Third-place match
M103
adv: Cape Verde
Bracket points
Advancement
44
Matchups called
6
Matched scorelines
4
Bracket total
54
Scored against the real knockout tournament: advancement points for every real team this model had reaching each stage (R32 1 · R16 2 · QF 3 · SF 5 · final 8 · champion 13), +1 for each simulated pairing that actually occurs in that round, and matched pairings' scorelines scored like normal matches (3/2/1, +1 correct advancer).
Collection runs
| Stage | Params | Attempts | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group stage | {"temperature":0} | 1 | $0.0012 |
| Round of 32 | {"temperature":0} | 1 | $0.0005 |
| Round of 16 | {"temperature":0} | 3 | $0.0004 |
| Quarter-finals | {"temperature":0} | 1 | $0.0003 |
| Semi-finals | {"temperature":0} | 1 | $0.0003 |
| Third-place match | {"temperature":0} | 1 | $0.0002 |
| Final | {"temperature":0} | 1 | $0.0002 |
Biggest hits
- Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina — predicted 1-1, actual 1-1 · 3 pts
- Qatar vs Switzerland — predicted 1-1, actual 1-1 · 3 pts
- France vs Senegal — predicted 3-1, actual 3-1 · 3 pts
Worst misses
- Germany vs Curaçao — predicted 1-2, actual 7-1 · 7 goals off
- Senegal vs Iraq — predicted 1-1, actual 5-0 · 5 goals off
- Australia vs Turkey — predicted 0-2, actual 2-0 · 4 goals off
Group-stage predictions
| # | Match | Predicted | Actual | Pts | Breakdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexicov South AfricaJun 11 | 3-1 | 2-0 | 2 | goal diff |
| 2 | South Koreav Czech RepublicJun 12 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | outcome |
| 3 | Canadav Bosnia and HerzegovinaJun 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | exact |
| 4 | United Statesv ParaguayJun 13 | 2-2 | 4-1 | 0 | miss |
| 5 | Haitiv ScotlandJun 14 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0 | miss |
| 6 | Australiav TurkeyJun 14 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0 | miss |
| 7 | Brazilv MoroccoJun 13 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 0 | miss |
| 8 | Qatarv SwitzerlandJun 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | exact |
| 9 | Ivory Coastv EcuadorJun 14 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 2 | goal diff |
| 10 | Germanyv CuraçaoJun 14 | 1-2 | 7-1 | 0 | miss |
| 11 | Netherlandsv JapanJun 14 | 2-0 | 2-2 | 0 | miss |
| 12 | Swedenv TunisiaJun 15 | 1-1 | 5-1 | 0 | miss |
| 13 | Saudi Arabiav UruguayJun 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | miss |
| 14 | Spainv Cape VerdeJun 15 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0 | miss |
| 15 | Iranv New ZealandJun 16 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | miss |
| 16 | Belgiumv EgyptJun 15 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 0 | miss |
| 17 | Francev SenegalJun 16 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | exact |
| 18 | Iraqv NorwayJun 16 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | miss |
| 19 | Argentinav AlgeriaJun 17 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | outcome |
| 20 | Austriav JordanJun 17 | 1-1 | 3-1 | 0 | miss |
| 21 | Ghanav PanamaJun 17 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | exact |
| 22 | Englandv CroatiaJun 17 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 1 | outcome |
| 23 | Portugalv DR CongoJun 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | exact |
| 24 | Uzbekistanv ColombiaJun 18 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 0 | miss |
| 25 | Czech Republicv South AfricaJun 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | miss |
| 26 | Switzerlandv Bosnia and HerzegovinaJun 18 | 1-1 | 4-1 | 0 | miss |
| 27 | Canadav QatarJun 18 | 2-0 | 6-0 | 1 | outcome |
| 28 | Mexicov South KoreaJun 19 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 0 | miss |
| 29 | Brazilv HaitiJun 20 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | outcome |
| 30 | Scotlandv MoroccoJun 19 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | miss |
| 31 | Turkeyv ParaguayJun 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | goal diff |
| 32 | United Statesv AustraliaJun 19 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 1 | outcome |
| 33 | Germanyv Ivory CoastJun 20 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | miss |
| 34 | Ecuadorv CuraçaoJun 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | miss |
| 35 | Netherlandsv SwedenJun 20 | 1-1 | 5-1 | 0 | miss |
| 36 | Tunisiav JapanJun 21 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | outcome |
| 37 | Uruguayv Cape VerdeJun 21 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | miss |
| 38 | Spainv Saudi ArabiaJun 21 | 2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | outcome |
| 39 | Belgiumv IranJun 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | goal diff |
| 40 | New Zealandv EgyptJun 22 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | miss |
| 41 | Norwayv SenegalJun 23 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | goal diff |
| 42 | Francev IraqJun 22 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 1 | outcome |
| 43 | Argentinav AustriaJun 22 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 0 | miss |
| 44 | Jordanv AlgeriaJun 23 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | miss |
| 45 | Englandv GhanaJun 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | goal diff |
| 46 | Panamav CroatiaJun 23 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0 | miss |
| 47 | Portugalv UzbekistanJun 23 | 2-1 | 5-0 | 1 | outcome |
| 48 | Colombiav DR CongoJun 24 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 0 | miss |
| 49 | Scotlandv BrazilJun 24 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 1 | outcome |
| 50 | Moroccov HaitiJun 24 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0 | miss |
| 51 | Switzerlandv CanadaJun 24 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | miss |
| 52 | Bosnia and Herzegovinav QatarJun 24 | 1-1 | 3-1 | 0 | miss |
| 53 | Czech Republicv MexicoJun 25 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 0 | miss |
| 54 | South Africav South KoreaJun 25 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0 | miss |
| 55 | Curaçaov Ivory CoastJun 25 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | miss |
| 56 | Ecuadorv GermanyJun 25 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0 | miss |
| 57 | Japanv SwedenJun 25 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | exact |
| 58 | Tunisiav NetherlandsJun 25 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | goal diff |
| 59 | Turkeyv United StatesJun 26 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 0 | miss |
| 60 | Paraguayv AustraliaJun 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | miss |
| 61 | Norwayv FranceJun 26 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | miss |
| 62 | Senegalv IraqJun 26 | 1-1 | 5-0 | 0 | miss |
| 63 | Egyptv IranJun 27 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | exact |
| 64 | New Zealandv BelgiumJun 27 | 1-1 | 1-5 | 0 | miss |
| 65 | Cape Verdev Saudi ArabiaJun 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | goal diff |
| 66 | Uruguayv SpainJun 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | goal diff |
| 67 | Panamav EnglandJun 27 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | miss |
| 68 | Croatiav GhanaJun 27 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | miss |
| 69 | Algeriav AustriaJun 28 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | goal diff |
| 70 | Jordanv ArgentinaJun 28 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | miss |
| 71 | Colombiav PortugalJun 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | goal diff |
| 72 | DR Congov UzbekistanJun 27 | 1-1 | 3-1 | 0 | miss |
“—” in the Predicted column means the model returned no valid prediction for that match (scores 0 once played). Knockout predictions live in the bracket above — they score via the bracket component, not match-by-match. Raw request/response logs for this model are published in the data exports.