Grok 4.3

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xAI · x-ai/grok-4.3

Knowledge cutoff: not published · context 1,000,000 tokens

Total points

0

Rank

Group pts

0

Bracket pts

0

Exact

0

Champion pick

Brazil

Predicted group tables

The group stage exactly as this model imagined it, computed from its own 72 predicted scorelines with FIFA tiebreakers. Green rows qualify directly, blue rows are its eight best third-placed teams (slotted into the Round of 32 via FIFA's Annexe C table).

Group A

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Mexico9+46
2 Czech Republic6+25
3 South Korea304
4 South Africa0-60

Group B

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Switzerland7+46
2 Canada5+24
3 Bosnia and Herzegovina4+14
4 Qatar0-70

Group C

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Brazil9+1010
2 Morocco4-13
3 Scotland4-13
4 Haiti0-80

Group D

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 United States9+46
2 Paraguay404
3 Australia2-22
4 Turkey1-23

Group E

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Germany9+810
2 Ivory Coast6+26
3 Ecuador305
4 Curaçao0-100

Group F

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Netherlands9+67
2 Japan404
3 Sweden403
4 Tunisia0-61

Group G

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Belgium9+88
2 Egypt403
3 Iran2-32
4 New Zealand1-51

Group H

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Spain9+67
2 Uruguay6+46
3 Cape Verde1-51
4 Saudi Arabia1-51

Group I

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 France9+67
2 Senegal6+25
3 Norway3-13
4 Iraq0-70

Group J

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Argentina9+1010
2 Algeria4-13
3 Austria4-13
4 Jordan0-80

Group K

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 Portugal9+78
2 Colombia6+35
3 DR Congo1-51
4 Uzbekistan1-51

Group L

#TeamPtsGDGF
1 England9+78
2 Croatia6+25
3 Ghana1-42
4 Panama1-51

Predicted bracket

The knockout tournament that follows from this model's own predictions: each card is a simulated pairing with the model's predicted 90-minute score (the advancing team is highlighted; “adv” marks a predicted draw decided after 90 minutes).

Round of 32

M73

Czech Republic1
Canada2

M74

Germany3
Australia0

M75

Netherlands2
Morocco1

M76

Brazil2
Japan0

M77

France3
Sweden1

M78

Ivory Coast1
Senegal2

M79

Mexico2
Scotland0

M80

England2
Norway1

M81

United States2
Bosnia and Herzegovina0

M82

Belgium3
South Korea0

M83

Colombia2
Croatia1

M84

Spain3
Algeria0

M85

Switzerland2
Austria1

M86

Argentina2
Uruguay1

M87

Portugal2
Ecuador0

M88

Paraguay1
Egypt0

Round of 16

M89

Germany2
France2

adv: France

M90

Canada0
Netherlands3

M91

Brazil3
Senegal1

M92

Mexico1
England2

M93

Colombia1
Spain2

M94

United States1
Belgium2

M95

Argentina2
Paraguay0

M96

Switzerland1
Portugal2

Quarter-finals

M97

France2
Netherlands1

M98

Spain1
Belgium1

adv: Spain

M99

Brazil2
England1

M100

Argentina2
Portugal1

Semi-finals

M101

France2
Spain1

M102

Brazil2
Argentina1

Final

M104

France1
Brazil2

Predicted champion

Brazil

Third-place match

M103

Spain2
Argentina1

Bracket points

Advancement

0

Matchups called

0

Matched scorelines

0

Bracket total

0

Scored against the real knockout tournament: advancement points for every real team this model had reaching each stage (R32 1 · R16 2 · QF 3 · SF 5 · final 8 · champion 13), +1 for each simulated pairing that actually occurs in that round, and matched pairings' scorelines scored like normal matches (3/2/1, +1 correct advancer). The real bracket doesn't exist yet — everything sits at 0 and starts paying out automatically once the real Round of 32 is set.

Collection runs

StageParamsAttemptsCost
Group stage{"temperature":0}1$0.0072
Round of 32{"temperature":0}1$0.0043
Round of 16{"temperature":0}1$0.0037
Quarter-finals{"temperature":0}1$0.0033
Semi-finals{"temperature":0}1$0.0029
Third-place match{"temperature":0}1$0.0030
Final{"temperature":0}1$0.0026

Group-stage predictions

#MatchPredictedActualPtsBreakdown
1 Mexicov South AfricaJun 112-0upcoming
2 South Koreav Czech RepublicJun 121-2upcoming
3 Canadav Bosnia and HerzegovinaJun 121-1upcoming
4 United Statesv ParaguayJun 132-1upcoming
5 Haitiv ScotlandJun 140-2upcoming
6 Australiav TurkeyJun 141-1upcoming
7 Brazilv MoroccoJun 133-0upcoming
8 Qatarv SwitzerlandJun 130-3upcoming
9 Ivory Coastv EcuadorJun 142-1upcoming
10 Germanyv CuraçaoJun 144-0upcoming
11 Netherlandsv JapanJun 142-1upcoming
12 Swedenv TunisiaJun 152-0upcoming
13 Saudi Arabiav UruguayJun 150-3upcoming
14 Spainv Cape VerdeJun 153-0upcoming
15 Iranv New ZealandJun 161-1upcoming
16 Belgiumv EgyptJun 152-0upcoming
17 Francev SenegalJun 162-1upcoming
18 Iraqv NorwayJun 160-2upcoming
19 Argentinav AlgeriaJun 173-0upcoming
20 Austriav JordanJun 172-0upcoming
21 Ghanav PanamaJun 171-1upcoming
22 Englandv CroatiaJun 172-1upcoming
23 Portugalv DR CongoJun 173-0upcoming
24 Uzbekistanv ColombiaJun 180-2upcoming
25 Czech Republicv South AfricaJun 182-0upcoming
26 Switzerlandv Bosnia and HerzegovinaJun 182-1upcoming
27 Canadav QatarJun 182-0upcoming
28 Mexicov South KoreaJun 192-1upcoming
29 Brazilv HaitiJun 204-0upcoming
30 Scotlandv MoroccoJun 191-1upcoming
31 Turkeyv ParaguayJun 201-2upcoming
32 United Statesv AustraliaJun 192-0upcoming
33 Germanyv Ivory CoastJun 203-1upcoming
34 Ecuadorv CuraçaoJun 213-0upcoming
35 Netherlandsv SwedenJun 202-0upcoming
36 Tunisiav JapanJun 211-2upcoming
37 Uruguayv Cape VerdeJun 212-0upcoming
38 Spainv Saudi ArabiaJun 212-0upcoming
39 Belgiumv IranJun 213-0upcoming
40 New Zealandv EgyptJun 220-2upcoming
41 Norwayv SenegalJun 231-2upcoming
42 Francev IraqJun 223-0upcoming
43 Argentinav AustriaJun 223-0upcoming
44 Jordanv AlgeriaJun 230-2upcoming
45 Englandv GhanaJun 233-0upcoming
46 Panamav CroatiaJun 230-2upcoming
47 Portugalv UzbekistanJun 233-0upcoming
48 Colombiav DR CongoJun 242-0upcoming
49 Scotlandv BrazilJun 240-3upcoming
50 Moroccov HaitiJun 242-0upcoming
51 Switzerlandv CanadaJun 241-1upcoming
52 Bosnia and Herzegovinav QatarJun 242-0upcoming
53 Czech Republicv MexicoJun 251-2upcoming
54 South Africav South KoreaJun 250-2upcoming
55 Curaçaov Ivory CoastJun 250-3upcoming
56 Ecuadorv GermanyJun 251-3upcoming
57 Japanv SwedenJun 251-1upcoming
58 Tunisiav NetherlandsJun 250-3upcoming
59 Turkeyv United StatesJun 261-2upcoming
60 Paraguayv AustraliaJun 261-1upcoming
61 Norwayv FranceJun 260-2upcoming
62 Senegalv IraqJun 262-0upcoming
63 Egyptv IranJun 271-1upcoming
64 New Zealandv BelgiumJun 270-3upcoming
65 Cape Verdev Saudi ArabiaJun 271-1upcoming
66 Uruguayv SpainJun 271-2upcoming
67 Panamav EnglandJun 270-3upcoming
68 Croatiav GhanaJun 272-1upcoming
69 Algeriav AustriaJun 281-1upcoming
70 Jordanv ArgentinaJun 280-4upcoming
71 Colombiav PortugalJun 271-2upcoming
72 DR Congov UzbekistanJun 271-1upcoming

“—” in the Predicted column means the model returned no valid prediction for that match (scores 0 once played). Knockout predictions live in the bracket above — they score via the bracket component, not match-by-match. Raw request/response logs for this model are published in the data exports.