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Match 89 · Round of 16

Paraguay
0–1
France

Advances: France

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia · Jul 4, 21:00 UTC

Round-by-round picks

Locked & pre-registered before kickoff.

Shown the real Round of 16 bracket and every result so far, each model predicted this exact tie directly — 38 of 38 models returned a valid pick.

Most-predicted score: 0–2 (20 of 38) · 38 of 38 back France

ModelPickAdvancesPointsBreakdown
Claude 3 Haikulegacy
1-2France3goal diff+1 adv
Claude Haiku 4.5small
1-2France3goal diff+1 adv
Gemma 2 27Blegacy
1-2France3goal diff+1 adv
GPT-4legacy
1-2France3goal diff+1 adv
GPT-5.4 Nanosmall
1-2France3goal diff+1 adv
Hermes 3 405Boddball
1-2France3goal diff+1 adv
Hunyuan A13Boddball
1-2France3goal diff+1 adv
Llama 4 Maverickflagship
1-2France3goal diff+1 adv
Llama 4 Scoutsmall
1-2France3goal diff+1 adv
Mistral Small 4small
1-2France3goal diff+1 adv
Qwen 2.5 72Blegacy
1-2France3goal diff+1 adv
WizardLM-2 8x22Boddball
1-2France3goal diff+1 adv
Claude Fable 5flagship
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
Claude Opus 4.8mid
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
Command Aflagship
1-3France2outcome+1 adv
DeepSeek V4 Flashsmall
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
DeepSeek V4 Proflagship
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
Gemini 3.1 Flash Litesmall
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
Gemini 3.1 Pro Previewflagship
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
Gemini 3.5 Flashmid
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
GLM 4.7 Flashsmall
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
GLM 5.1flagship
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
GPT-4olegacy
1-3France2outcome+1 adv
GPT-5.4 Minismall
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
GPT-5.5flagship
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
GPT-5.5 Proflagship
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
Grok 4.20mid
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
Grok 4.3flagship
0-3France2outcome+1 adv
Jamba Large 1.7flagship
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
Kimi K2.6flagship
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
Mercury 2oddball
0-3France2outcome+1 adv
MiniMax M3flagship
1-3France2outcome+1 adv
Mistral Medium 3.5flagship
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
Nemotron 3 Ultraflagship
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
Nova 2 Litemid
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
Qwen3.6 Flashsmall
1-3France2outcome+1 adv
Qwen3.7 Maxflagship
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
Qwen3.7 Plusmid
0-2France2outcome+1 adv
GPT-3.5 Turbolegacy
no pick—0no valid prediction
Llama 3 70Blegacy
no pick—0no valid prediction

Direct picks on the real fixture, scored like a group match (exact 3 · goal difference 2 · outcome 1) plus +1 for the correct advancing team — a separate benchmark from the locked self-consistent bracket. See the methodology.

Who called this matchup?

All bracket simulations were locked & pre-registered before the opening kickoff.

Models whose own simulated Round of 16 contained this exact pairing (in either orientation), with the scoreline they attached to it — 0 of 40 models with a stored simulation for this round.

No model's simulated bracket paired these teams in the Round of 16. Models can still earn advancement points here for having either team reach this stage — see the methodology.

Scorelines are shown in this match's orientation (flipped when a model simulated the pairing the other way around). Each listed model also earns a +1 matchup bonus; scoreline points (3/2/1, +1 correct advancer) apply once the match is played.