Match 80: England vs DR Congo

Match 80 · Round of 32

England

2–1

DR Congo

Advances: England

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta · Jul 1, 16:00 UTC

Round-by-round picks

Locked & pre-registered before kickoff.

Shown the real Round of 32 bracket and every result so far, each model predicted this exact tie directly — 38 of 38 models returned a valid pick.

Most-predicted score: 2–0 (27 of 38) · 38 of 38 back England

Model	Pick	Advances	Points	Breakdown
GPT-4olegacy	2-1	England	4	exact+1 adv
Hermes 3 405Boddball	2-1	England	4	exact+1 adv
Claude 3 Haikulegacy	1-0	England	3	goal diff+1 adv
Llama 4 Maverickflagship	1-0	England	3	goal diff+1 adv
Claude Haiku 4.5small	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Claude Opus 4.8mid	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Command Aflagship	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
DeepSeek V4 Flashsmall	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
DeepSeek V4 Proflagship	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Gemini 3.1 Flash Litesmall	3-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Gemini 3.1 Pro Previewflagship	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Gemini 3.5 Flashmid	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Gemma 2 27Blegacy	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
GLM 4.7 Flashsmall	3-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
GLM 5.1flagship	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
GPT-3.5 Turbolegacy	3-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
GPT-4legacy	3-1	England	2	outcome+1 adv
GPT-5.4 Minismall	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
GPT-5.4 Nanosmall	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
GPT-5.5flagship	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
GPT-5.5 Proflagship	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Grok 4.20mid	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Grok 4.3flagship	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Hunyuan A13Boddball	3-1	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Jamba Large 1.7flagship	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Kimi K2.6flagship	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Llama 4 Scoutsmall	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Mercury 2oddball	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
MiniMax M3flagship	3-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Mistral Medium 3.5flagship	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Mistral Small 4small	3-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Nemotron 3 Ultraflagship	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Nova 2 Litemid	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Qwen 2.5 72Blegacy	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Qwen3.6 Flashsmall	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Qwen3.7 Maxflagship	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Qwen3.7 Plusmid	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
WizardLM-2 8x22Boddball	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Claude Fable 5flagship	no pick	—	0	no valid prediction
Llama 3 70Blegacy	no pick	—	0	no valid prediction

Direct picks on the real fixture, scored like a group match (exact 3 · goal difference 2 · outcome 1) plus +1 for the correct advancing team — a separate benchmark from the locked self-consistent bracket. See the methodology.

Who called this matchup?

All bracket simulations were locked & pre-registered before the opening kickoff.

Models whose own simulated Round of 32 contained this exact pairing (in either orientation), with the scoreline they attached to it — 7 of 40 models with a stored simulation for this round.

Model	Their call	Advances	Points	Breakdown
Mistral Small 4small	2-1	England	4	exact+1 adv
DeepSeek V4 Proflagship	3-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Gemini 3.1 Flash Litesmall	4-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Hunyuan A13Boddball	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Llama 3 70Blegacy	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Mistral Medium 3.5flagship	3-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv
Nova 2 Litemid	2-0	England	2	outcome+1 adv

Scorelines are shown in this match's orientation (flipped when a model simulated the pairing the other way around). Each listed model also earns a +1 matchup bonus; scoreline points (3/2/1, +1 correct advancer) apply once the match is played.