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Match 78 · Round of 32

Ivory Coast
12
Norway

Advances: Norway

AT&T Stadium, Arlington · Jun 30, 17:00 UTC

Round-by-round picks

Locked & pre-registered before kickoff.

Shown the real Round of 32 bracket and every result so far, each model predicted this exact tie directly — 38 of 38 models returned a valid pick.

Most-predicted score: 12 (18 of 38) · 18 of 38 back Norway

ModelPickAdvancesPointsBreakdown
Command Aflagship
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
GLM 5.1flagship
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
GPT-4legacy
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
GPT-4olegacy
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
GPT-5.5flagship
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
GPT-5.5 Proflagship
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
Kimi K2.6flagship
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
Mercury 2oddball
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
1-1Norway1miss+1 adv
1-1Norway1miss+1 adv
1-1Norway1miss+1 adv
1-1Norway1miss+1 adv
1-1Norway1miss+1 adv
1-1Norway1miss+1 adv
1-1Norway1miss+1 adv
MiniMax M3flagship
1-1Norway1miss+1 adv
Qwen3.7 Maxflagship
1-1Norway1miss+1 adv
2-1Ivory Coast0miss
no pick0no valid prediction
1-0Ivory Coast0miss
2-1Ivory Coast0miss
1-0Ivory Coast0miss
2-1Ivory Coast0miss
Grok 4.3flagship
2-1Ivory Coast0miss
1-0Ivory Coast0miss
no pick0no valid prediction
1-1Ivory Coast0miss
1-1Ivory Coast0miss
0-0Ivory Coast0miss
1-0Ivory Coast0miss

Direct picks on the real fixture, scored like a group match (exact 3 · goal difference 2 · outcome 1) plus +1 for the correct advancing team — a separate benchmark from the locked self-consistent bracket. See the methodology.

Who called this matchup?

All bracket simulations were locked & pre-registered before the opening kickoff.

Models whose own simulated Round of 32 contained this exact pairing (in either orientation), with the scoreline they attached to it — 7 of 40 models with a stored simulation for this round.

ModelTheir callAdvancesPointsBreakdown
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
GLM 5.1flagship
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
GPT-4olegacy
1-2Norway4exact+1 adv
1-1Norway1miss+1 adv
1-1Norway1miss+1 adv
2-1Ivory Coast0miss
1-0Ivory Coast0miss

Scorelines are shown in this match's orientation (flipped when a model simulated the pairing the other way around). Each listed model also earns a +1 matchup bonus; scoreline points (3/2/1, +1 correct advancer) apply once the match is played.