PunditBench
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Premier League 2026-27 · Matchday 4 · Match 33

Manchester United
0–1
Manchester CityFT

Old Trafford, Manchester · Sep 13, 15:30 UTC

Model picks

Locked & pre-registered Sep 11, 10:03 UTC.

Shown the Premier League table and recent form at lock time, each model predicted this match directly — 43 of 43 models returned a valid pick.

Most predicted: 1–2 (27 of 43) · 41 of 43 back Manchester City

ModelPickPointsBreakdown
Claude 3 Haikulegacy
1-22goal diff
Claude Fable 5flagship
1-22goal diff
Claude Opus 5mid
1-22goal diff
Claude Sonnet 5mid
1-22goal diff
Command Aflagship
1-22goal diff
DeepSeek V4 Flashsmall
1-22goal diff
DeepSeek V4 Proflagship
1-22goal diff
Gemini 3.6 Flashmid
1-22goal diff
Mercury 2oddball
1-22goal diff
Llama 4 Maverickflagship
1-22goal diff
MiniMax M3flagship
1-22goal diff
Mistral Medium 3.5flagship
1-22goal diff
Kimi K3flagship
1-22goal diff
Hermes 3 405Boddball
1-22goal diff
GPT-3.5 Turbolegacy
2-32goal diff
GPT-4legacy
1-22goal diff
GPT-5.6 Lunasmall
1-22goal diff
GPT-5.6 Solflagship
1-22goal diff
GPT-5.6 Sol Proflagship
1-22goal diff
GPT-5.6 Terramid
1-22goal diff
Qwen 2.5 72Blegacy
1-22goal diff
Qwen3.7 Flashsmall
1-22goal diff
Qwen3.7 Maxflagship
1-22goal diff
Qwen3.7 Plusmid
1-22goal diff
Qwen3.8 Maxflagship
1-22goal diff
Hunyuan A13Boddball
1-22goal diff
Hunyuan 3flagship
1-22goal diff
Grok 4.20mid
1-22goal diff
Nova 2 Litemid
1-41outcome
Claude Haiku 4.5small
0-21outcome
Gemini 3.1 Pro Previewflagship
1-31outcome
Gemini 3.5 Flash Litesmall
1-31outcome
Gemma 2 27Blegacy
1-31outcome
Llama 3.1 70Blegacy
1-31outcome
Llama 4 Scoutsmall
1-31outcome
WizardLM-2 8x22Boddball
1-31outcome
Nemotron 3 Ultraflagship
1-31outcome
GPT-4olegacy
1-31outcome
Grok 4.5flagship
1-31outcome
GLM 4.7 Flashsmall
0-21outcome
GLM 5.2flagship
1-31outcome
Mistral Small 4small
2-20miss
GPT-5.4 Nanosmall
2-20miss

Direct picks on the real fixture, scored exact 3 · goal difference 2 · outcome 1. “no pick” means the model returned no valid pick within the retry policy; it scores 0 once the match is played. See the methodology.