League benchmark · 2026-27

Premier League 2026-27

43 models are tracked one matchday at a time — shown the current table and each team's recent form, with eligible picks locked ~36h before each round's first kickoff. Later entrants are flagged and never backfilled. Exact score 3 · goal difference 2 · outcome 1.

Next roundMatchday 8First kickoff Oct 23, 19:00 UTCPicks lock ~36h before the first kickoffView the matchday's first match →

Season leaderboard

#	Model	Pts/match	Scored	Points	Exact	GD	Outcome	Picks
1	Hermes 3 405BNous Researchoddball	1.02	40	41	6	8	7	40
2	GPT-5.6 Sol ProOpenAIflagship	0.97	40	39	6	6	9	40
3	Gemini 3.5 Flash LiteGooglesmall	0.95	40	38	7	5	7	40
4	GPT-5.6 SolOpenAIflagship	0.95	40	38	5	7	9	40
5	DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeekflagship	0.93	40	37	5	6	10	40
6	Claude Fable 5Anthropicflagship	0.90	40	36	6	5	8	40
6	Gemini 3.1 Pro PreviewGoogleflagship	0.90	40	36	6	5	8	40
8	Claude Opus 5Anthropicmid	0.90	40	36	5	7	7	40
9	Qwen3.7 MaxAlibabaflagship	0.88	40	35	5	6	8	40
10	GPT-5.6 TerraOpenAImid	0.85	40	34	5	6	7	40
11	Gemini 3.6 FlashGooglemid	0.82	40	33	4	6	9	40
12	GPT-5.6 LunaOpenAIsmall	0.80	40	32	6	3	8	40
13	WizardLM-2 8x22BMicrosoftoddball	0.78	40	31	5	2	12	40
14	MiniMax M3MiniMaxflagship	0.78	40	31	4	6	7	40
15	Llama 4 ScoutMetasmall	0.78	40	31	2	9	7	40
16	Kimi K3Moonshotflagship	0.75	40	30	5	3	9	40
17	DeepSeek V4 FlashDeepSeeksmall	0.75	40	30	5	4	7	40
17	Mistral Medium 3.5Mistralflagship	0.75	40	30	5	4	7	40
19	Qwen3.7 PlusAlibabamid	0.75	40	30	4	5	8	40
20	Qwen3.7 FlashAlibabasmall	0.72	40	29	4	5	7	40
21	Hunyuan 3Tencentflagship	0.70	40	28	4	3	10	40
22	Qwen 2.5 72BAlibabalegacy	0.70	40	28	2	6	10	40
23	Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIAflagship	0.68	40	27	4	2	11	40
24	GLM 5.2Z.AIflagship	0.65	40	26	4	3	8	40
25	Claude Sonnet 5Anthropicmid	0.65	40	26	3	5	7	40
26	Mercury 2Inceptionoddball	0.63	40	25	3	4	8	40
27	Command ACohereflagship	0.60	40	24	3	4	7	40
27	Gemma 2 27BGooglelegacy	0.60	40	24	3	4	7	40
29	Qwen3.8 MaxAlibabaflagship	0.60	40	24	2	3	12	40
30	Llama 4 MaverickMetaflagship	0.57	40	23	4	2	7	40
31	Nova 2 LiteAmazonmid	0.57	40	23	3	3	8	40
32	GPT-3.5 TurboOpenAIlegacy	0.57	40	23	2	3	11	40
33	GPT-4OpenAIlegacy	0.57	40	23	2	5	7	40
33	Grok 4.20xAImid	0.57	40	23	2	5	7	40
35	Grok 4.5xAIflagship	0.55	40	22	3	2	9	40
36	Claude 3 HaikuAnthropiclegacy	0.55	40	22	3	3	7	40
37	GPT-4oOpenAIlegacy	0.55	40	22	2	3	10	40
38	GPT-5.4 NanoOpenAIsmall	0.55	40	22	1	4	11	40
39	Mistral Small 4Mistralsmall	0.53	40	21	2	4	7	40
40	Claude Haiku 4.5Anthropicsmall	0.47	40	19	2	2	9	40
41	Hunyuan A13BTencentoddball	0.47	40	19	1	3	10	40
42	GLM 4.7 FlashZ.AIsmall	0.45	40	18	2	1	10	40
43	Llama 3.1 70BMetalegacy	0.42	40	17	2	1	9	40

Exact score 3 · goal difference 2 · outcome 1. Pts/match = points per scored match and is the primary ranking metric, so later entrants remain comparable. From its stated join round, a model is scored on every eligible match in a locked round, including a missing pick or missing round file. Tiebreakers: cumulative points → exact scores → matches with points. Pre-join rounds are never backfilled.

League table

The real Premier League table from synced results — what the models are trying to out-predict. 70 of 380 fixtures played.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	7	7	0	0	19	7	12	21
2	Arsenal	7	6	0	1	11	5	6	18
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	7	5	1	1	23	5	18	16
4	Chelsea	7	4	1	2	17	13	4	13
5	Liverpool	7	3	3	1	9	8	1	12
6	Brentford	7	2	4	1	13	8	5	10
7	Leeds United	7	2	4	1	9	6	3	10
8	Everton	7	2	4	1	8	7	1	10
9	Hull City	7	2	3	2	8	7	1	9
10	Ipswich Town	7	3	0	4	11	15	-4	9
11	Newcastle United	7	2	2	3	10	14	-4	8
12	Aston Villa	7	2	2	3	7	11	-4	8
13	Manchester United	7	1	4	2	10	10	0	7
14	Crystal Palace	7	2	1	4	9	17	-8	7
15	AFC Bournemouth	7	1	3	3	9	13	-4	6
16	Tottenham Hotspur	7	1	3	3	6	10	-4	6
17	Coventry City	7	2	0	5	6	14	-8	6
18	Fulham	7	1	2	4	7	10	-3	5
19	Nottingham Forest	7	1	2	4	5	9	-4	5
20	Sunderland	7	1	1	5	6	14	-8	4

Generic ordering (points → goal difference → goals for); league-specific head-to-head rules are not applied.

Table predictions — locked before the season

40 models predicted the final Premier League table before the opening kickoff (hashed and tagged, like everything here). Later matchday entrants are not added to this locked pre-season field. 22 of 40 models crown Manchester City. Graded against the table as it stands today — final grading at season's end.

#	Model	Champion pick	Predicted top 4	Predicted relegated	Score	Detail
1	Claude Haiku 4.5small	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Manchester United, Aston Villa	Ipswich Town, Coventry City, Hull City	21	5 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
2	GPT-3.5 Turbolegacy	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United, Chelsea	Sunderland, Ipswich Town, Nottingham Forest	21	2 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 2/3
3	GLM 4.7 Flashsmall	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Aston Villa	Hull City, AFC Bournemouth, Manchester United	21	5 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
4	Mistral Small 4small	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Aston Villa	Coventry City, Hull City, Ipswich Town	20	4 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
5	Command Aflagship	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Chelsea	Coventry City, Hull City, Ipswich Town	19	3 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/3
6	Mercury 2oddball	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United	Coventry City, Hull City, Ipswich Town	19	3 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
7	Qwen3.7 Plusmid	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Aston Villa	Ipswich Town, Coventry City, Nottingham Forest	19	3 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/3
8	Qwen3.7 Maxflagship	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United	Nottingham Forest, Coventry City, Ipswich Town	18	2 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/3
9	GPT-4legacy	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United	Coventry City, Hull City, Ipswich Town	17	2 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
10	GPT-4olegacy	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United	Coventry City, Hull City, Ipswich Town	17	3 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
11	GPT-5.6 Solflagship	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United	Nottingham Forest, Coventry City, Hull City	17	2 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/3
12	Qwen 2.5 72Blegacy	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Manchester United, Liverpool	Coventry City, Ipswich Town, Tottenham Hotspur	17	3 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
13	Claude 3 Haikulegacy	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Manchester United, Liverpool	Coventry City, Hull City, Ipswich Town	16	2 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
14	Hermes 3 405Boddball	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Manchester United, Liverpool	Coventry City, Hull City, Ipswich Town	16	2 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
15	Nemotron 3 Ultraflagship	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Aston Villa	Coventry City, Hull City, Ipswich Town	16	3 exact · 1 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
16	GPT-5.4 Nanosmall	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Manchester United, Liverpool	Leeds United, Coventry City, Ipswich Town	16	3 exact · 1 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
17	GLM 5.2flagship	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United	Coventry City, Ipswich Town, Hull City	16	2 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
18	WizardLM-2 8x22Boddball	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United	Coventry City, Hull City, Ipswich Town	15	2 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
19	Nova 2 Litemid	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United	Hull City, Ipswich Town, Coventry City	14	2 exact · 1 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
20	Gemini 3.5 Flash Litesmall	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United	Ipswich Town, Coventry City, Hull City	14	2 exact · 1 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
21	Llama 4 Maverickflagship	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Liverpool, Arsenal, Aston Villa	Ipswich Town, Coventry City, Hull City	14	2 exact · 1 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
22	MiniMax M3flagship	Manchester City✓	Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United	Ipswich Town, Hull City, Coventry City	14	2 exact · 1 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
23	Claude Fable 5flagship	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Manchester United, Aston Villa	Coventry City, Hull City, Ipswich Town	12	1 exact · 6 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
24	Mistral Medium 3.5flagship	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United	Coventry City, Hull City, Ipswich Town	12	2 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
25	GPT-5.6 Sol Proflagship	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Manchester United, Aston Villa	Nottingham Forest, Coventry City, Hull City	12	1 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/3
26	Qwen3.7 Flashsmall	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, Chelsea	Ipswich Town, Hull City, Coventry City	11	1 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/3
27	Hunyuan 3flagship	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Manchester United, Aston Villa	Hull City, Ipswich Town, Coventry City	11	1 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
28	Claude Sonnet 5mid	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United	Coventry City, Hull City, Ipswich Town	10	1 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
29	Llama 4 Scoutsmall	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, Aston Villa	Coventry City, Hull City, Ipswich Town	10	0 exact · 6 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
30	Kimi K3flagship	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United	Nottingham Forest, Coventry City, Hull City	10	0 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/3
31	Qwen3.8 Maxflagship	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Manchester United, Aston Villa	Tottenham Hotspur, Ipswich Town, Coventry City	10	1 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
32	DeepSeek V4 Proflagship	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United	Hull City, Ipswich Town, Coventry City	9	1 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
33	Claude Opus 5mid	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United	Coventry City, Ipswich Town, Hull City	8	0 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
34	DeepSeek V4 Flashsmall	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Manchester United, Liverpool	Hull City, Ipswich Town, Coventry City	8	0 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
35	GPT-5.6 Lunasmall	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United	Coventry City, Hull City, Ipswich Town	8	0 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
36	GPT-5.6 Terramid	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United	Ipswich Town, Coventry City, Hull City	8	0 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
37	Grok 4.20mid	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United	Coventry City, Ipswich Town, Hull City	8	0 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
38	Grok 4.5flagship	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Manchester United, Liverpool	Ipswich Town, Coventry City, Hull City	8	0 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
39	Gemini 3.1 Pro Previewflagship	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United	Hull City, Ipswich Town, Coventry City	7	0 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3
40	Gemini 3.6 Flashmid	Arsenal	Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United	Ipswich Town, Coventry City, Hull City	6	0 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/3

Scoring: exact position 2 · one off 1 · champion +5 · each correct top-4 team +2 · each correct relegated team +2. Kept separate from the matchday leaderboard.

Matchdays

Every round of the season. Open a matchday to compare the models eligible for that round; later entrants do not appear before their stated start.

Matchday 1

Aug 21

Locked ✓ 43 models

Matchday 2

Aug 28

Locked ✓ 43 models

Matchday 3

Sep 4

Locked ✓ 43 models

Matchday 4

Sep 12

Locked ✓ 43 models

Matchday 5

Sep 18

Picks pending

Matchday 6

Oct 10

Picks pending

Matchday 7

Oct 17

Picks pending

Matchday 8

Oct 23

Picks pending

Matchday 9

Oct 31

Picks pending

Matchday 10

Nov 7

Picks pending

Matchday 11

Nov 21

Picks pending

Matchday 12

Nov 28

Picks pending

Matchday 13

Dec 2

Picks pending

Matchday 14

Dec 5

Picks pending

Matchday 15

Dec 12

Picks pending

Matchday 16

Dec 19

Picks pending

Matchday 17

Dec 26

Picks pending

Matchday 18

Dec 29

Picks pending

Matchday 19

Jan 1

Picks pending

Matchday 20

Jan 5

Picks pending

Matchday 21

Jan 16

Picks pending

Matchday 22

Jan 23

Picks pending

Matchday 23

Jan 30

Picks pending

Matchday 24

Feb 6

Picks pending

Matchday 25

Feb 10

Picks pending

Matchday 26

Feb 20

Picks pending

Matchday 27

Feb 27

Picks pending

Matchday 28

Mar 3

Picks pending

Matchday 29

Mar 13

Picks pending

Matchday 30

Mar 20

Picks pending

Matchday 31

Apr 10

Picks pending

Matchday 32

Apr 17

Picks pending

Matchday 33

Apr 24

Picks pending

Matchday 34

May 1

Picks pending

Matchday 35

May 8

Picks pending

Matchday 36

May 15

Picks pending

Matchday 37

May 23

Picks pending

Matchday 38

May 30

Picks pending