League benchmark · 2026-27
Serie A 2026-27
43 models are tracked one matchday at a time — shown the current table and each team's recent form, with eligible picks locked ~36h before each round's first kickoff. Later entrants are flagged and never backfilled. Exact score 3 · goal difference 2 · outcome 1.
Season leaderboard
| # | Model | Pts/match | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.50 | 60 | |
| 2 | 1.48 | 59 | |
| 3 | 1.38 | 55 | |
| 4 | 1.32 | 53 | |
| 4 | 1.32 | 53 | |
| 6 | 1.32 | 53 | |
| 7 | 1.30 | 52 | |
| 8 | 1.30 | 52 | |
| 9 | 1.27 | 51 | |
| 10 | 1.27 | 51 | |
| 11 | 1.27 | 51 | |
| 12 | 1.25 | 50 | |
| 13 | 1.25 | 50 | |
| 14 | 1.25 | 50 | |
| 15 | 1.25 | 50 | |
| 16 | 1.25 | 50 | |
| 17 | 1.23 | 49 | |
| 17 | 1.23 | 49 | |
| 17 | 1.23 | 49 | |
| 20 | 1.23 | 49 | |
| 20 | 1.23 | 49 | |
| 22 | 1.23 | 49 | |
| 23 | 1.23 | 49 | |
| 23 | 1.23 | 49 | |
| 25 | 1.23 | 49 | |
| 26 | 1.20 | 48 | |
| 27 | 1.20 | 48 | |
| 28 | 1.18 | 47 | |
| 29 | 1.18 | 47 | |
| 30 | 1.18 | 47 | |
| 31 | 1.18 | 47 | |
| 32 | 1.15 | 46 | |
| 33 | 1.15 | 46 | |
| 34 | 1.15 | 46 | |
| 35 | 1.13 | 45 | |
| 36 | 1.13 | 45 | |
| 37 | 1.10 | 44 | |
| 38 | 1.00 | 40 | |
| 39 | 0.97 | 39 | |
| 40 | 0.93 | 37 | |
| 41 | 0.88 | 35 | |
| 42 | 0.88 | 35 | |
| 43 | 0.82 | 33 |
Exact score 3 · goal difference 2 · outcome 1. Pts/match = points per scored match and is the primary ranking metric, so later entrants remain comparable. From its stated join round, a model is scored on every eligible match in a locked round, including a missing pick or missing round file. Tiebreakers: cumulative points → exact scores → matches with points. Pre-join rounds are never backfilled.
League table
The real Serie A table from synced results — what the models are trying to out-predict. 70 of 380 fixtures played.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internazionale | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Lazio | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 17 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Como | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Cagliari | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Napoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Torino | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Monza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Bologna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 19 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 |
Generic ordering (points → goal difference → goals for); league-specific head-to-head rules are not applied.
Table predictions — locked before the season
42 models predicted the final Serie A table before the opening kickoff (hashed and tagged, like everything here). Later matchday entrants are not added to this locked pre-season field. 41 of 42 models crown Internazionale. Graded against the table as it stands today — final grading at season's end.
| # | Model | Champion pick | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llama 4 Maverickflagship | Internazionale✓ | 24 |
| 2 | Hermes 3 405Boddball | Internazionale✓ | 23 |
| 3 | Qwen3.7 Flashsmall | Internazionale✓ | 23 |
| 4 | Internazionale✓ | 22 | |
| 5 | GPT-5.6 Sol Proflagship | Internazionale✓ | 22 |
| 6 | Qwen3.7 Maxflagship | Internazionale✓ | 22 |
| 7 | MiniMax M3flagship | Internazionale✓ | 21 |
| 8 | Mistral Small 4small | Internazionale✓ | 21 |
| 9 | Grok 4.20mid | Internazionale✓ | 21 |
| 10 | Claude Fable 5flagship | Internazionale✓ | 20 |
| 11 | Mercury 2oddball | Internazionale✓ | 20 |
| 12 | Llama 4 Scoutsmall | Internazionale✓ | 20 |
| 13 | WizardLM-2 8x22Boddball | Internazionale✓ | 20 |
| 14 | Mistral Medium 3.5flagship | Internazionale✓ | 20 |
| 15 | Nemotron 3 Ultraflagship | Internazionale✓ | 20 |
| 16 | GPT-3.5 Turbolegacy | Internazionale✓ | 20 |
| 17 | GPT-5.4 Nanosmall | Internazionale✓ | 20 |
| 18 | Hunyuan 3flagship | Internazionale✓ | 20 |
| 19 | Claude Haiku 4.5small | Internazionale✓ | 19 |
| 20 | Internazionale✓ | 19 | |
| 21 | DeepSeek V4 Flashsmall | Internazionale✓ | 19 |
| 22 | Internazionale✓ | 19 | |
| 23 | Qwen 2.5 72Blegacy | Internazionale✓ | 19 |
| 24 | DeepSeek V4 Proflagship | Internazionale✓ | 18 |
| 25 | Gemini 3.1 Pro Previewflagship | Internazionale✓ | 18 |
| 26 | Internazionale✓ | 18 | |
| 27 | Llama 3.1 70Blegacy | Napoli | 18 |
| 28 | GLM 5.2flagship | Internazionale✓ | 18 |
| 29 | Internazionale✓ | 17 | |
| 30 | Kimi K3flagship | Internazionale✓ | 17 |
| 31 | Qwen3.7 Plusmid | Internazionale✓ | 17 |
| 32 | Qwen3.8 Maxflagship | Internazionale✓ | 17 |
| 33 | Nova 2 Litemid | Internazionale✓ | 16 |
| 34 | Claude 3 Haikulegacy | Internazionale✓ | 16 |
| 35 | Command Aflagship | Internazionale✓ | 16 |
| 36 | GPT-4olegacy | Internazionale✓ | 16 |
| 37 | GPT-5.6 Solflagship | Internazionale✓ | 16 |
| 38 | Grok 4.5flagship | Internazionale✓ | 16 |
| 39 | Gemma 2 27Blegacy | Internazionale✓ | 15 |
| 40 | GPT-4legacy | Internazionale✓ | 15 |
| 41 | GPT-5.6 Lunasmall | Internazionale✓ | 15 |
| 42 | Hunyuan A13Boddball | Internazionale✓ | 15 |
Scoring: exact position 2 · one off 1 · champion +5 · each correct top-4 team +2 · each correct relegated team +2. Kept separate from the matchday leaderboard.
Matchdays
Every round of the season. Open a matchday to compare the models eligible for that round; later entrants do not appear before their stated start.
Matchday 1
Aug 22
Locked ✓ 43 models
Matchday 2
Aug 28
Locked ✓ 43 models
Matchday 3
Sep 4
Locked ✓ 43 models
Matchday 4
Sep 11
Locked ✓ 43 models
Matchday 5
Sep 18
Picks pending
Matchday 6
Oct 10
Picks pending
Matchday 7
Oct 16
Picks pending
Matchday 8
Oct 23
Picks pending
Matchday 9
Oct 27
Picks pending
Matchday 10
Oct 31
Picks pending
Matchday 11
Nov 6
Picks pending
Matchday 12
Nov 21
Picks pending
Matchday 13
Nov 29
Picks pending
Matchday 14
Dec 6
Picks pending
Matchday 15
Dec 13
Picks pending
Matchday 16
Dec 20
Picks pending
Matchday 17
Jan 3
Picks pending
Matchday 18
Jan 6
Picks pending
Matchday 19
Jan 10
Picks pending
Matchday 20
Jan 17
Picks pending
Matchday 21
Jan 24
Picks pending
Matchday 22
Jan 31
Picks pending
Matchday 23
Feb 7
Picks pending
Matchday 24
Feb 14
Picks pending
Matchday 25
Feb 21
Picks pending
Matchday 26
Feb 28
Picks pending
Matchday 27
Mar 7
Picks pending
Matchday 28
Mar 14
Picks pending
Matchday 29
Mar 21
Picks pending
Matchday 30
Apr 4
Picks pending
Matchday 31
Apr 11
Picks pending
Matchday 32
Apr 18
Picks pending
Matchday 33
Apr 25
Picks pending
Matchday 34
May 2
Picks pending
Matchday 35
May 9
Picks pending
Matchday 36
May 16
Picks pending
Matchday 37
May 23
Picks pending
Matchday 38
May 30
Picks pending