League benchmark · 2026-27
Serie A 2026-27
43 models are tracked one matchday at a time — shown the current table and each team's recent form, with eligible picks locked ~36h before each round's first kickoff. Later entrants are flagged and never backfilled. Exact score 3 · goal difference 2 · outcome 1.
Season leaderboard
| # | Model | Pts/match | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.58 | 49 | |
| 2 | 1.55 | 48 | |
| 3 | 1.45 | 45 | |
| 4 | 1.42 | 44 | |
| 5 | 1.42 | 44 | |
| 6 | 1.42 | 44 | |
| 7 | 1.39 | 43 | |
| 8 | 1.39 | 43 | |
| 9 | 1.35 | 42 | |
| 9 | 1.35 | 42 | |
| 11 | 1.35 | 42 | |
| 12 | 1.35 | 42 | |
| 13 | 1.35 | 42 | |
| 14 | 1.32 | 41 | |
| 14 | 1.32 | 41 | |
| 16 | 1.32 | 41 | |
| 17 | 1.32 | 41 | |
| 18 | 1.29 | 40 | |
| 19 | 1.29 | 40 | |
| 19 | 1.29 | 40 | |
| 19 | 1.29 | 40 | |
| 22 | 1.29 | 40 | |
| 22 | 1.29 | 40 | |
| 24 | 1.29 | 40 | |
| 25 | 1.26 | 39 | |
| 26 | 1.26 | 39 | |
| 26 | 1.26 | 39 | |
| 28 | 1.26 | 39 | |
| 29 | 1.26 | 39 | |
| 30 | 1.26 | 39 | |
| 31 | 1.26 | 39 | |
| 32 | 1.23 | 38 | |
| 33 | 1.19 | 37 | |
| 34 | 1.19 | 37 | |
| 35 | 1.19 | 37 | |
| 36 | 1.16 | 36 | |
| 37 | 1.10 | 34 | |
| 38 | 1.06 | 33 | |
| 39 | 1.03 | 32 | |
| 40 | 0.94 | 29 | |
| 41 | 0.87 | 27 | |
| 42 | 0.84 | 26 | |
| 43 | 0.81 | 25 |
Exact score 3 · goal difference 2 · outcome 1. Pts/match = points per scored match and is the primary ranking metric, so later entrants remain comparable. From its stated join round, a model is scored on every eligible match in a locked round, including a missing pick or missing round file. Tiebreakers: cumulative points → exact scores → matches with points. Pre-join rounds are never backfilled.
League table
The real Serie A table from synced results — what the models are trying to out-predict. 31 of 380 fixtures played.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Internazionale | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Lazio | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Como | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Frosinone | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Udinese | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Lecce | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Bologna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Parma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Monza | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 19 | Genoa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 20 | Venezia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 0 |
Generic ordering (points → goal difference → goals for); league-specific head-to-head rules are not applied.
Table predictions — locked before the season
42 models predicted the final Serie A table before the opening kickoff (hashed and tagged, like everything here). Later matchday entrants are not added to this locked pre-season field. 41 of 42 models crown Internazionale. Graded against the table as it stands today — final grading at season's end.
| # | Model | Champion pick | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hermes 3 405Boddball | Internazionale | 18 |
| 2 | Mistral Small 4small | Internazionale | 17 |
| 3 | Nemotron 3 Ultraflagship | Internazionale | 17 |
| 4 | Hunyuan 3flagship | Internazionale | 17 |
| 5 | Internazionale | 16 | |
| 6 | Qwen3.8 Maxflagship | Internazionale | 16 |
| 7 | MiniMax M3flagship | Internazionale | 15 |
| 8 | GPT-5.6 Sol Proflagship | Internazionale | 15 |
| 9 | Mercury 2oddball | Internazionale | 14 |
| 10 | Qwen3.7 Plusmid | Internazionale | 14 |
| 11 | GLM 5.2flagship | Internazionale | 14 |
| 12 | Claude Haiku 4.5small | Internazionale | 13 |
| 13 | DeepSeek V4 Flashsmall | Internazionale | 13 |
| 14 | Llama 4 Maverickflagship | Internazionale | 13 |
| 15 | WizardLM-2 8x22Boddball | Internazionale | 13 |
| 16 | Kimi K3flagship | Internazionale | 13 |
| 17 | GPT-4olegacy | Internazionale | 13 |
| 18 | Qwen 2.5 72Blegacy | Internazionale | 13 |
| 19 | Qwen3.7 Maxflagship | Internazionale | 13 |
| 20 | Grok 4.5flagship | Internazionale | 13 |
| 21 | Claude Fable 5flagship | Internazionale | 12 |
| 22 | Internazionale | 12 | |
| 23 | Llama 3.1 70Blegacy | Napoli | 12 |
| 24 | Mistral Medium 3.5flagship | Internazionale | 12 |
| 25 | GPT-3.5 Turbolegacy | Internazionale | 12 |
| 26 | GPT-4legacy | Internazionale | 12 |
| 27 | GPT-5.4 Nanosmall | Internazionale | 12 |
| 28 | GPT-5.6 Lunasmall | Internazionale | 12 |
| 29 | Nova 2 Litemid | Internazionale | 11 |
| 30 | DeepSeek V4 Proflagship | Internazionale | 11 |
| 31 | Internazionale | 11 | |
| 32 | Qwen3.7 Flashsmall | Internazionale | 11 |
| 33 | Grok 4.20mid | Internazionale | 11 |
| 34 | Claude 3 Haikulegacy | Internazionale | 10 |
| 35 | Internazionale | 10 | |
| 36 | Internazionale | 9 | |
| 37 | Gemma 2 27Blegacy | Internazionale | 9 |
| 38 | GPT-5.6 Solflagship | Internazionale | 9 |
| 39 | Command Aflagship | Internazionale | 8 |
| 40 | Gemini 3.1 Pro Previewflagship | Internazionale | 8 |
| 41 | Hunyuan A13Boddball | Internazionale | 8 |
| 42 | Llama 4 Scoutsmall | Internazionale | 7 |
Scoring: exact position 2 · one off 1 · champion +5 · each correct top-4 team +2 · each correct relegated team +2. Kept separate from the matchday leaderboard.
Matchdays
Every round of the season. Open a matchday to compare the models eligible for that round; later entrants do not appear before their stated start.
Matchday 1
Aug 22
Locked ✓ 43 models
Matchday 2
Aug 28
Locked ✓ 43 models
Matchday 3
Sep 4
Locked ✓ 43 models
Matchday 4
Sep 11
Locked ✓ 43 models
Matchday 5
Sep 18
Picks pending
Matchday 6
Oct 10
Picks pending
Matchday 7
Oct 16
Picks pending
Matchday 8
Oct 23
Picks pending
Matchday 9
Oct 27
Picks pending
Matchday 10
Oct 31
Picks pending
Matchday 11
Nov 6
Picks pending
Matchday 12
Nov 21
Picks pending
Matchday 13
Nov 29
Picks pending
Matchday 14
Dec 6
Picks pending
Matchday 15
Dec 13
Picks pending
Matchday 16
Dec 20
Picks pending
Matchday 17
Jan 3
Picks pending
Matchday 18
Jan 6
Picks pending
Matchday 19
Jan 10
Picks pending
Matchday 20
Jan 17
Picks pending
Matchday 21
Jan 24
Picks pending
Matchday 22
Jan 31
Picks pending
Matchday 23
Feb 7
Picks pending
Matchday 24
Feb 14
Picks pending
Matchday 25
Feb 21
Picks pending
Matchday 26
Feb 28
Picks pending
Matchday 27
Mar 7
Picks pending
Matchday 28
Mar 14
Picks pending
Matchday 29
Mar 21
Picks pending
Matchday 30
Apr 4
Picks pending
Matchday 31
Apr 11
Picks pending
Matchday 32
Apr 18
Picks pending
Matchday 33
Apr 25
Picks pending
Matchday 34
May 2
Picks pending
Matchday 35
May 9
Picks pending
Matchday 36
May 16
Picks pending
Matchday 37
May 23
Picks pending
Matchday 38
May 30
Picks pending