League benchmark · 2026-27

Ligue 1 2026-27

43 models are tracked one matchday at a time — shown the current table and each team's recent form, with eligible picks locked ~36h before each round's first kickoff. Later entrants are flagged and never backfilled. Exact score 3 · goal difference 2 · outcome 1.

Next roundMatchday 8First kickoff Oct 23, 18:45 UTCPicks lock ~36h before the first kickoffView the matchday's first match →

Season leaderboard

#	Model	Pts/match	Scored	Points	Exact	GD	Outcome	Picks
1	Claude Fable 5Anthropicflagship	1.11	35	39	4	11	5	36
2	MiniMax M3MiniMaxflagship	1.09	35	38	5	9	5	36
3	Claude Opus 5Anthropicmid	1.09	35	38	4	11	4	36
4	Grok 4.20xAImid	1.06	35	37	5	9	4	36
5	Claude Sonnet 5Anthropicmid	1.06	35	37	4	10	5	36
6	GPT-5.6 LunaOpenAIsmall	1.03	35	36	5	8	5	36
6	Hermes 3 405BNous Researchoddball	1.03	35	36	5	8	5	36
8	GPT-4oOpenAIlegacy	1.03	35	36	3	10	7	36
9	DeepSeek V4 FlashDeepSeeksmall	1.00	35	35	5	7	6	36
10	GPT-5.6 TerraOpenAImid	1.00	35	35	4	9	5	36
11	GPT-5.6 SolOpenAIflagship	1.00	35	35	4	10	3	36
12	Grok 4.5xAIflagship	1.00	35	35	3	11	4	36
13	Gemini 3.1 Pro PreviewGoogleflagship	0.97	35	34	4	8	6	36
13	Hunyuan 3Tencentflagship	0.97	35	34	4	8	6	36
15	GPT-5.6 Sol ProOpenAIflagship	0.97	35	34	4	9	4	36
16	Qwen3.7 MaxAlibabaflagship	0.94	35	33	4	8	5	36
17	Kimi K3Moonshotflagship	0.94	35	33	3	10	4	36
18	GLM 4.7 FlashZ.AIsmall	0.91	35	32	5	6	5	36
19	Qwen3.7 FlashAlibabasmall	0.91	35	32	4	6	8	36
20	GLM 5.2Z.AIflagship	0.91	35	32	4	8	4	36
21	Qwen 2.5 72BAlibabalegacy	0.91	35	32	3	8	7	36
22	Qwen3.8 MaxAlibabaflagship	0.91	35	32	3	10	3	36
23	Mistral Medium 3.5Mistralflagship	0.89	35	31	4	7	5	36
24	Nova 2 LiteAmazonmid	0.86	35	30	4	6	6	36
25	DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeekflagship	0.86	35	30	3	7	7	36
26	Gemini 3.5 Flash LiteGooglesmall	0.86	35	30	3	8	5	36
26	WizardLM-2 8x22BMicrosoftoddball	0.86	35	30	3	8	5	36
28	Gemma 2 27BGooglelegacy	0.83	35	29	4	5	7	36
29	Qwen3.7 PlusAlibabamid	0.83	35	29	3	7	6	36
30	Gemini 3.6 FlashGooglemid	0.80	35	28	2	8	6	36
31	GPT-5.4 NanoOpenAIsmall	0.77	35	27	3	7	4	36
31	Mistral Small 4Mistralsmall	0.77	35	27	3	7	4	36
33	Llama 4 MaverickMetaflagship	0.77	35	27	2	8	5	36
34	Command ACohereflagship	0.77	35	27	2	9	3	36
35	GPT-4OpenAIlegacy	0.74	35	26	2	8	4	36
36	GPT-3.5 TurboOpenAIlegacy	0.71	35	25	2	6	7	36
37	Llama 4 ScoutMetasmall	0.71	35	25	2	7	5	36
38	Claude Haiku 4.5Anthropicsmall	0.69	35	24	4	4	4	36
39	Claude 3 HaikuAnthropiclegacy	0.66	35	23	1	7	6	36
40	Mercury 2Inceptionoddball	0.60	35	21	1	4	10	36
41	Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIAflagship	0.51	35	18	1	6	3	27
42	Llama 3.1 70BMetalegacy	0.46	35	16	1	4	5	27
43	Hunyuan A13BTencentoddball	0.40	35	14	0	5	4	36

Exact score 3 · goal difference 2 · outcome 1. Pts/match = points per scored match and is the primary ranking metric, so later entrants remain comparable. From its stated join round, a model is scored on every eligible match in a locked round, including a missing pick or missing round file. Tiebreakers: cumulative points → exact scores → matches with points. Pre-join rounds are never backfilled.

League table

The real Ligue 1 table from synced results — what the models are trying to out-predict. 63 of 306 fixtures played.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lyon	7	4	2	1	13	5	8	14
2	Paris Saint-Germain	7	4	2	1	14	9	5	14
3	Paris FC	7	4	2	1	12	7	5	14
4	Lille	7	4	2	1	10	5	5	14
5	AS Monaco	7	4	2	1	10	6	4	14
6	Stade Rennais	7	4	1	2	15	14	1	13
7	Lorient	7	3	2	2	7	6	1	11
8	Lens	7	3	1	3	14	11	3	10
9	Marseille	7	3	0	4	14	10	4	9
10	Brest	7	2	3	2	13	10	3	9
11	Toulouse	7	2	3	2	12	11	1	9
12	AJ Auxerre	7	3	0	4	11	17	-6	9
13	Nice	7	2	2	3	6	9	-3	8
14	Strasbourg	7	2	1	4	12	15	-3	7
15	Angers	7	2	1	4	9	15	-6	7
16	Le Mans	7	1	3	3	10	15	-5	6
17	Troyes	7	1	1	5	5	16	-11	4
18	Le Havre AC	7	0	2	5	5	11	-6	2

Generic ordering (points → goal difference → goals for); league-specific head-to-head rules are not applied.

Table predictions — locked before the season

40 models predicted the final Ligue 1 table before the opening kickoff (hashed and tagged, like everything here). Later matchday entrants are not added to this locked pre-season field. 40 of 40 models crown Paris Saint-Germain. Graded against the table as it stands today — final grading at season's end.

#	Model	Champion pick	Predicted top 4	Predicted relegated	Score	Detail
1	Command Aflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	21	3 exact · 7 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
2	Hermes 3 405Boddball	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lyon, Lens, Lille	Troyes, Le Mans	19	3 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
3	Grok 4.20mid	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lille, Lens, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	19	3 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
4	Gemma 2 27Blegacy	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	18	2 exact · 6 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
5	WizardLM-2 8x22Boddball	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	18	1 exact · 8 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
6	GPT-4olegacy	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lyon, Lens, Lille	Le Mans, Troyes	18	1 exact · 8 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
7	GLM 4.7 Flashsmall	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Troyes, Le Mans	18	2 exact · 6 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
8	GLM 5.2flagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lyon, Marseille, Lille	Troyes, Le Mans	18	2 exact · 6 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
9	Claude Opus 5mid	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Marseille, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	17	1 exact · 7 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
10	Gemini 3.1 Pro Previewflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lille, Lyon, AS Monaco	Troyes, Le Mans	17	2 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
11	MiniMax M3flagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Troyes, Le Mans	17	2 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
12	GPT-5.4 Nanosmall	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Marseille	Le Mans, Troyes	17	3 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/2
13	Claude Fable 5flagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Marseille	Le Mans, Troyes	16	1 exact · 8 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/2
14	DeepSeek V4 Flashsmall	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	16	2 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
15	DeepSeek V4 Proflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lille, Marseille, Lyon	Troyes, Le Mans	16	1 exact · 6 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
16	Gemini 3.5 Flash Litesmall	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, AS Monaco	Le Mans, Troyes	16	1 exact · 8 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/2
17	Gemini 3.6 Flashmid	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Marseille, Lille, Lyon	Troyes, Le Mans	16	1 exact · 6 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
18	Nemotron 3 Ultraflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Marseille	Le Mans, Troyes	16	2 exact · 6 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/2
19	GPT-5.6 Sol Proflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Marseille, Lille, Lens	Troyes, Le Mans	16	3 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/2
20	GPT-5.6 Terramid	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Marseille, Lens, Lille	Le Mans, Troyes	16	2 exact · 6 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/2
21	Nova 2 Litemid	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	15	1 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
22	Claude 3 Haikulegacy	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	15	1 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
23	Claude Haiku 4.5small	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	15	1 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
24	Claude Sonnet 5mid	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Marseille, Lens, Lille	Le Mans, Troyes	15	2 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/2
25	Mercury 2oddball	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	15	0 exact · 7 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
26	Mistral Medium 3.5flagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	15	1 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
27	Mistral Small 4small	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	15	1 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
28	GPT-3.5 Turbolegacy	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lyon, Lille, Lens	AJ Auxerre, Troyes	15	1 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
29	GPT-4legacy	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Troyes, Le Mans	15	2 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
30	GPT-5.6 Lunasmall	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Troyes, Le Mans	15	2 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
31	Qwen3.7 Maxflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Marseille, Lille, Lens	Nice, Troyes	15	3 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/2
32	Qwen3.7 Plusmid	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	15	1 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
33	Hunyuan 3flagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Troyes, Le Mans	15	2 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
34	Llama 3.1 70Blegacy	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Havre AC, AJ Auxerre	14	0 exact · 6 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 1/2
35	Kimi K3flagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Marseille	Troyes, Le Mans	14	3 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/2
36	GPT-5.6 Solflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lille, Lens, Marseille	Le Havre AC, Le Mans	14	2 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/2
37	Grok 4.5flagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Marseille	Troyes, Le Mans	14	2 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/2
38	Llama 4 Maverickflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Angers	13	1 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
39	Qwen3.8 Maxflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Marseille	Troyes, Le Mans	13	2 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/2
40	Qwen3.7 Flashsmall	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lille, Lens, Lyon	Angers, AJ Auxerre	10	0 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2

Scoring: exact position 2 · one off 1 · champion +5 · each correct top-4 team +2 · each correct relegated team +2. Kept separate from the matchday leaderboard.

Matchdays

Every round of the season. Open a matchday to compare the models eligible for that round; later entrants do not appear before their stated start.

Matchday 1

Aug 21

Locked ✓ 43 models

Matchday 2

Aug 28

Locked ✓ 43 models

Matchday 3

Sep 3

Locked ✓ 42 models

Matchday 4

Sep 11

Locked ✓ 42 models

Matchday 5

Sep 18

Picks pending

Matchday 6

Oct 9

Picks pending

Matchday 7

Oct 16

Picks pending

Matchday 8

Oct 23

Picks pending

Matchday 9

Oct 30

Picks pending

Matchday 10

Nov 6

Picks pending

Matchday 11

Nov 20

Picks pending

Matchday 12

Nov 27

Picks pending

Matchday 13

Dec 5

Picks pending

Matchday 14

Dec 12

Picks pending

Matchday 15

Jan 2

Picks pending

Matchday 16

Jan 16

Picks pending

Matchday 17

Jan 23

Picks pending

Matchday 18

Jan 30

Picks pending

Matchday 19

Feb 6

Picks pending

Matchday 20

Feb 13

Picks pending

Matchday 21

Feb 20

Picks pending

Matchday 22

Feb 27

Picks pending

Matchday 23

Mar 6

Picks pending

Matchday 24

Mar 13

Picks pending

Matchday 25

Mar 20

Picks pending

Matchday 26

Apr 3

Picks pending

Matchday 27

Apr 10

Picks pending

Matchday 28

Apr 17

Picks pending

Matchday 29

Apr 24

Picks pending

Matchday 30

May 1

Picks pending

Matchday 31

May 8

Picks pending

Matchday 32

May 16

Picks pending

Matchday 33

May 22

Picks pending

Matchday 34

May 29

Picks pending