League benchmark · 2026-27

Ligue 1 2026-27

43 models are tracked one matchday at a time — shown the current table and each team's recent form, with eligible picks locked ~36h before each round's first kickoff. Later entrants are flagged and never backfilled. Exact score 3 · goal difference 2 · outcome 1.

Next roundMatchday 4First kickoff Sep 11, 18:45 UTCLocked · 42 models pre-registeredView the matchday's first match →

Season leaderboard

#	Model	Pts/match	Scored	Points	Exact	GD	Outcome	Picks
1	Claude Sonnet 5Anthropicmid	1.11	27	30	4	7	4	36
2	MiniMax M3MiniMaxflagship	1.07	27	29	4	6	5	36
3	Qwen 2.5 72BAlibabalegacy	1.07	27	29	3	7	6	36
4	DeepSeek V4 FlashDeepSeeksmall	1.04	27	28	4	5	6	36
5	GPT-4oOpenAIlegacy	1.04	27	28	3	6	7	36
6	Claude Fable 5Anthropicflagship	1.04	27	28	3	7	5	36
7	Hermes 3 405BNous Researchoddball	1.00	27	27	5	4	4	36
8	GLM 4.7 FlashZ.AIsmall	1.00	27	27	4	5	5	36
8	GPT-5.6 LunaOpenAIsmall	1.00	27	27	4	5	5	36
10	Hunyuan 3Tencentflagship	1.00	27	27	3	6	6	36
11	Claude Opus 5Anthropicmid	1.00	27	27	3	7	4	36
12	Qwen3.8 MaxAlibabaflagship	1.00	27	27	2	9	3	36
13	Grok 4.20xAImid	0.96	27	26	4	5	4	36
14	GPT-5.6 TerraOpenAImid	0.96	27	26	3	6	5	36
15	GPT-5.6 SolOpenAIflagship	0.96	27	26	3	7	3	36
16	Mistral Medium 3.5Mistralflagship	0.93	27	25	4	4	5	36
17	Qwen3.7 FlashAlibabasmall	0.93	27	25	3	4	8	36
18	GLM 5.2Z.AIflagship	0.93	27	25	3	6	4	36
18	GPT-5.6 Sol ProOpenAIflagship	0.93	27	25	3	6	4	36
20	Gemma 2 27BGooglelegacy	0.89	27	24	4	3	6	36
21	Qwen3.7 MaxAlibabaflagship	0.89	27	24	3	5	5	36
21	Qwen3.7 PlusAlibabamid	0.89	27	24	3	5	5	36
23	Grok 4.5xAIflagship	0.89	27	24	2	7	4	36
23	Kimi K3Moonshotflagship	0.89	27	24	2	7	4	36
25	Gemini 3.1 Pro PreviewGoogleflagship	0.85	27	23	3	4	6	36
25	Nova 2 LiteAmazonmid	0.85	27	23	3	4	6	36
27	Gemini 3.5 Flash LiteGooglesmall	0.85	27	23	2	6	5	36
27	WizardLM-2 8x22BMicrosoftoddball	0.85	27	23	2	6	5	36
29	Mistral Small 4Mistralsmall	0.81	27	22	3	5	3	36
30	GPT-4OpenAIlegacy	0.81	27	22	2	6	4	36
31	DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeekflagship	0.78	27	21	2	4	7	36
32	Gemini 3.6 FlashGooglemid	0.78	27	21	2	5	5	36
33	Command ACohereflagship	0.78	27	21	2	6	3	36
34	GPT-5.4 NanoOpenAIsmall	0.74	27	20	3	4	3	36
35	Llama 4 ScoutMetasmall	0.74	27	20	2	5	4	36
36	Claude Haiku 4.5Anthropicsmall	0.70	27	19	3	3	4	36
37	Llama 4 MaverickMetaflagship	0.70	27	19	1	6	4	36
38	Mercury 2Inceptionoddball	0.67	27	18	1	3	9	36
39	GPT-3.5 TurboOpenAIlegacy	0.67	27	18	1	4	7	36
40	Claude 3 HaikuAnthropiclegacy	0.67	27	18	1	5	5	36
41	Llama 3.1 70BMetalegacy	0.59	27	16	1	4	5	27
42	Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIAflagship	0.41	27	11	0	4	3	27
43	Hunyuan A13BTencentoddball	0.37	27	10	0	4	2	36

Exact score 3 · goal difference 2 · outcome 1. Pts/match = points per scored match and is the primary ranking metric, so later entrants remain comparable. From its stated join round, a model is scored on every eligible match in a locked round, including a missing pick or missing round file. Tiebreakers: cumulative points → exact scores → matches with points. Pre-join rounds are never backfilled.

League table

The real Ligue 1 table from synced results — what the models are trying to out-predict. 28 of 306 fixtures played.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stade Rennais	4	3	1	0	8	5	3	10
2	AS Monaco	3	3	0	0	5	1	4	9
3	Lyon	3	2	1	0	6	2	4	7
4	Paris FC	3	2	1	0	6	2	4	7
5	Lille	3	2	1	0	5	2	3	7
6	Strasbourg	3	2	0	1	8	7	1	6
7	Brest	3	1	2	0	6	5	1	5
8	Lorient	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
9	Troyes	3	1	1	1	4	7	-3	4
10	Lens	3	1	0	2	6	5	1	3
11	Marseille	4	1	0	3	6	6	0	3
12	Angers	3	1	0	2	4	5	-1	3
13	Le Mans	3	0	2	1	5	6	-1	2
14	Paris Saint-Germain	3	0	2	1	5	6	-1	2
15	Nice	3	0	2	1	1	4	-3	2
16	Le Havre AC	3	0	1	2	2	4	-2	1
17	Toulouse	3	0	1	2	2	5	-3	1
18	AJ Auxerre	3	0	0	3	4	11	-7	0

Generic ordering (points → goal difference → goals for); league-specific head-to-head rules are not applied.

Table predictions — locked before the season

40 models predicted the final Ligue 1 table before the opening kickoff (hashed and tagged, like everything here). Later matchday entrants are not added to this locked pre-season field. 40 of 40 models crown Paris Saint-Germain. Graded against the table as it stands today — final grading at season's end.

#	Model	Champion pick	Predicted top 4	Predicted relegated	Score	Detail
1	Llama 3.1 70Blegacy	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Havre AC, AJ Auxerre	11	1 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 1/2
2	Mercury 2oddball	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	9	2 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
3	Gemini 3.1 Pro Previewflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lille, Lyon, AS Monaco	Troyes, Le Mans	8	2 exact · 0 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/2
4	GPT-3.5 Turbolegacy	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lyon, Lille, Lens	AJ Auxerre, Troyes	8	0 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 1/2
5	GPT-5.6 Lunasmall	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Troyes, Le Mans	8	1 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
6	Qwen3.7 Flashsmall	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lille, Lens, Lyon	Angers, AJ Auxerre	8	1 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 1/2
7	GPT-4legacy	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Troyes, Le Mans	7	1 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
8	Qwen3.7 Plusmid	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	7	0 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
9	Hunyuan 3flagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Troyes, Le Mans	7	0 exact · 5 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
10	Nova 2 Litemid	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	6	0 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
11	Claude 3 Haikulegacy	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	6	0 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
12	Claude Haiku 4.5small	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	6	0 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
13	DeepSeek V4 Flashsmall	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	6	0 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
14	Llama 4 Maverickflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Angers	6	1 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
15	Mistral Medium 3.5flagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	6	0 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
16	Mistral Small 4small	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	6	0 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
17	Hermes 3 405Boddball	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lyon, Lens, Lille	Troyes, Le Mans	6	0 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
18	GPT-4olegacy	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lyon, Lens, Lille	Le Mans, Troyes	6	1 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
19	Claude Opus 5mid	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Marseille, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	5	1 exact · 1 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
20	Command Aflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	5	0 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
21	DeepSeek V4 Proflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lille, Marseille, Lyon	Troyes, Le Mans	5	1 exact · 1 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
22	Gemini 3.6 Flashmid	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Marseille, Lille, Lyon	Troyes, Le Mans	5	1 exact · 1 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
23	Gemma 2 27Blegacy	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	5	0 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
24	MiniMax M3flagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Troyes, Le Mans	5	1 exact · 1 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
25	Qwen3.8 Maxflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Marseille	Troyes, Le Mans	5	1 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 0/4 · rel 0/2
26	GLM 5.2flagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lyon, Marseille, Lille	Troyes, Le Mans	5	0 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
27	Claude Sonnet 5mid	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Marseille, Lens, Lille	Le Mans, Troyes	4	1 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 0/4 · rel 0/2
28	Gemini 3.5 Flash Litesmall	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, AS Monaco	Le Mans, Troyes	4	1 exact · 0 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
29	WizardLM-2 8x22Boddball	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	4	0 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
30	Kimi K3flagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Marseille	Troyes, Le Mans	4	0 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 0/4 · rel 0/2
31	Grok 4.5flagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Marseille	Troyes, Le Mans	4	1 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 0/4 · rel 0/2
32	GLM 4.7 Flashsmall	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Lyon	Troyes, Le Mans	4	0 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
33	Grok 4.20mid	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lille, Lens, Lyon	Le Mans, Troyes	3	0 exact · 1 ±1 · top4 1/4 · rel 0/2
34	GPT-5.4 Nanosmall	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Marseille	Le Mans, Troyes	2	0 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 0/4 · rel 0/2
35	GPT-5.6 Solflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lille, Lens, Marseille	Le Havre AC, Le Mans	2	0 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 0/4 · rel 0/2
36	GPT-5.6 Sol Proflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Marseille, Lille, Lens	Troyes, Le Mans	2	1 exact · 0 ±1 · top4 0/4 · rel 0/2
37	GPT-5.6 Terramid	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Marseille, Lens, Lille	Le Mans, Troyes	2	0 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 0/4 · rel 0/2
38	Qwen3.7 Maxflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Marseille, Lille, Lens	Nice, Troyes	2	0 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 0/4 · rel 0/2
39	Claude Fable 5flagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Marseille	Le Mans, Troyes	1	0 exact · 1 ±1 · top4 0/4 · rel 0/2
40	Nemotron 3 Ultraflagship	Paris Saint-Germain	Paris Saint-Germain, Lens, Lille, Marseille	Le Mans, Troyes	0	0 exact · 0 ±1 · top4 0/4 · rel 0/2

Scoring: exact position 2 · one off 1 · champion +5 · each correct top-4 team +2 · each correct relegated team +2. Kept separate from the matchday leaderboard.

Matchdays

Every round of the season. Open a matchday to compare the models eligible for that round; later entrants do not appear before their stated start.

Matchday 1

Aug 21

Locked ✓ 43 models

Matchday 2

Aug 28

Locked ✓ 43 models

Matchday 3

Sep 3

Locked ✓ 42 models

Matchday 4

Sep 11

Locked ✓ 42 models

Matchday 5

Sep 18

Picks pending

Matchday 6

Oct 9

Picks pending

Matchday 7

Oct 16

Picks pending

Matchday 8

Oct 23

Picks pending

Matchday 9

Oct 30

Picks pending

Matchday 10

Nov 6

Picks pending

Matchday 11

Nov 20

Picks pending

Matchday 12

Nov 27

Picks pending

Matchday 13

Dec 5

Picks pending

Matchday 14

Dec 12

Picks pending

Matchday 15

Jan 2

Picks pending

Matchday 16

Jan 16

Picks pending

Matchday 17

Jan 23

Picks pending

Matchday 18

Jan 30

Picks pending

Matchday 19

Feb 6

Picks pending

Matchday 20

Feb 13

Picks pending

Matchday 21

Feb 20

Picks pending

Matchday 22

Feb 27

Picks pending

Matchday 23

Mar 6

Picks pending

Matchday 24

Mar 13

Picks pending

Matchday 25

Mar 20

Picks pending

Matchday 26

Apr 3

Picks pending

Matchday 27

Apr 10

Picks pending

Matchday 28

Apr 17

Picks pending

Matchday 29

Apr 24

Picks pending

Matchday 30

May 1

Picks pending

Matchday 31

May 8

Picks pending

Matchday 32

May 16

Picks pending

Matchday 33

May 22

Picks pending

Matchday 34

May 29

Picks pending