League benchmark · 2026-27

Bundesliga 2026-27

43 models are tracked one matchday at a time — shown the current table and each team's recent form, with eligible picks locked ~36h before each round's first kickoff. Later entrants are flagged and never backfilled. Exact score 3 · goal difference 2 · outcome 1.

Next roundMatchday 7First kickoff Oct 23, 18:30 UTCPicks lock ~36h before the first kickoffView the matchday's first match →

Season leaderboard

#	Model	Pts/match	Scored	Points	Exact	GD	Outcome	Picks
1	Claude 3 HaikuAnthropiclegacy	1.06	18	19	3	2	6	18
1	Llama 4 ScoutMetasmall	1.06	18	19	3	2	6	18
1	MiniMax M3MiniMaxflagship	1.06	18	19	3	2	6	18
1	WizardLM-2 8x22BMicrosoftoddball	1.06	18	19	3	2	6	18
5	GPT-5.6 SolOpenAIflagship	1.00	18	18	2	2	8	18
6	Mistral Medium 3.5Mistralflagship	0.94	18	17	3	1	6	18
7	Claude Fable 5Anthropicflagship	0.94	18	17	1	3	8	18
8	GLM 5.2Z.AIflagship	0.89	18	16	3	1	5	18
9	Claude Sonnet 5Anthropicmid	0.89	18	16	2	1	8	18
9	DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeekflagship	0.89	18	16	2	1	8	18
9	Gemini 3.5 Flash LiteGooglesmall	0.89	18	16	2	1	8	18
9	Gemini 3.6 FlashGooglemid	0.89	18	16	2	1	8	18
13	Command ACohereflagship	0.89	18	16	2	2	6	18
13	DeepSeek V4 FlashDeepSeeksmall	0.89	18	16	2	2	6	18
15	Gemma 2 27BGooglelegacy	0.89	18	16	1	2	9	18
15	GPT-5.6 Sol ProOpenAIflagship	0.89	18	16	1	2	9	18
17	Grok 4.20xAImid	0.89	18	16	1	3	7	18
18	Claude Haiku 4.5Anthropicsmall	0.83	18	15	2	1	7	18
18	Mercury 2Inceptionoddball	0.83	18	15	2	1	7	18
18	Qwen3.7 PlusAlibabamid	0.83	18	15	2	1	7	18
21	Qwen 2.5 72BAlibabalegacy	0.83	18	15	2	2	5	18
22	Hermes 3 405BNous Researchoddball	0.83	18	15	1	2	8	18
22	Hunyuan A13BTencentoddball	0.83	18	15	1	2	8	18
24	GPT-5.4 NanoOpenAIsmall	0.83	18	15	1	3	6	18
25	Llama 4 MaverickMetaflagship	0.78	18	14	3	0	5	18
26	Gemini 3.1 Pro PreviewGoogleflagship	0.78	18	14	1	1	9	18
27	Claude Opus 5Anthropicmid	0.78	18	14	1	2	7	18
27	GLM 4.7 FlashZ.AIsmall	0.78	18	14	1	2	7	18
29	GPT-4oOpenAIlegacy	0.72	18	13	2	1	5	18
30	GPT-5.6 LunaOpenAIsmall	0.72	18	13	1	1	8	18
30	Grok 4.5xAIflagship	0.72	18	13	1	1	8	18
30	Hunyuan 3Tencentflagship	0.72	18	13	1	1	8	18
30	Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIAflagship	0.72	18	13	1	1	8	18
30	Nova 2 LiteAmazonmid	0.72	18	13	1	1	8	18
30	Qwen3.7 FlashAlibabasmall	0.72	18	13	1	1	8	18
30	Qwen3.8 MaxAlibabaflagship	0.72	18	13	1	1	8	18
37	GPT-4OpenAIlegacy	0.72	18	13	1	2	6	18
37	Llama 3.1 70BMetalegacy	0.72	18	13	1	2	6	18
37	Mistral Small 4Mistralsmall	0.72	18	13	1	2	6	18
40	GPT-5.6 TerraOpenAImid	0.72	18	13	0	3	7	18
40	Kimi K3Moonshotflagship	0.72	18	13	0	3	7	18
42	GPT-3.5 TurboOpenAIlegacy	0.67	18	12	1	1	7	18
43	Qwen3.7 MaxAlibabaflagship	0.56	18	10	0	1	8	18

Exact score 3 · goal difference 2 · outcome 1. Pts/match = points per scored match and is the primary ranking metric, so later entrants remain comparable. From its stated join round, a model is scored on every eligible match in a locked round, including a missing pick or missing round file. Tiebreakers: cumulative points → exact scores → matches with points. Pre-join rounds are never backfilled.

League table

The real Bundesliga table from synced results — what the models are trying to out-predict. 54 of 306 fixtures played.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	22	5	17	14
2	Borussia Dortmund	6	4	2	0	11	4	7	14
3	SC Freiburg	6	4	1	1	15	6	9	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	6	4	1	1	16	9	7	13
5	Mainz	6	3	1	2	14	10	4	10
6	SV Elversberg	6	3	1	2	12	11	1	10
7	RB Leipzig	6	3	0	3	16	11	5	9
8	Werder Bremen	6	2	3	1	12	12	0	9
9	Hamburg SV	6	3	0	3	6	15	-9	9
10	FC Augsburg	6	2	2	2	16	12	4	8
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	6	2	2	2	10	16	-6	8
12	FC Cologne	6	2	1	3	8	11	-3	7
13	VfB Stuttgart	6	2	0	4	8	10	-2	6
14	TSG Hoffenheim	6	2	0	4	11	14	-3	6
15	Schalke 04	6	1	2	3	4	7	-3	5
16	SC Paderborn 07	6	1	2	3	5	9	-4	5
17	1. FC Union Berlin	6	1	2	3	5	17	-12	5
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	6	0	0	6	8	20	-12	0

Generic ordering (points → goal difference → goals for); league-specific head-to-head rules are not applied.

Table predictions — locked before the season

42 models predicted the final Bundesliga table before the opening kickoff (hashed and tagged, like everything here). Later matchday entrants are not added to this locked pre-season field. 42 of 42 models crown Bayern Munich. Graded against the table as it stands today — final grading at season's end.

#	Model	Champion pick	Predicted top 4	Predicted relegated	Score	Detail
1	Llama 4 Maverickflagship	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	Schalke 04, SV Elversberg	23	6 exact · 0 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
2	GPT-4legacy	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	22	4 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
3	GPT-5.4 Nanosmall	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, VfB Stuttgart	SC Paderborn 07, 1. FC Union Berlin	22	4 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 1/2
4	Claude Haiku 4.5small	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SV Elversberg, Schalke 04	21	5 exact · 0 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
5	Kimi K3flagship	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	21	4 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
6	Nemotron 3 Ultraflagship	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, Bayer Leverkusen, RB Leipzig	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	21	3 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
7	Qwen3.7 Maxflagship	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	21	4 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
8	Grok 4.20mid	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	21	4 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
9	Claude Sonnet 5mid	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	20	3 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
10	DeepSeek V4 Flashsmall	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	20	3 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
11	Gemini 3.1 Pro Previewflagship	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	20	3 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
12	MiniMax M3flagship	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	20	3 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
13	Mistral Small 4small	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	20	3 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
14	Grok 4.5flagship	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	20	3 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
15	Claude 3 Haikulegacy	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, Hamburg SV	19	3 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
16	Claude Fable 5flagship	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, Bayer Leverkusen, RB Leipzig	SV Elversberg, SC Paderborn 07	19	3 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
17	Command Aflagship	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	19	3 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
18	DeepSeek V4 Proflagship	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, Bayer Leverkusen, RB Leipzig	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	19	2 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
19	Gemini 3.6 Flashmid	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, Bayer Leverkusen, RB Leipzig	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	19	2 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
20	Gemma 2 27Blegacy	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, TSG Hoffenheim	Schalke 04, SV Elversberg	19	4 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/2
21	Llama 3.1 70Blegacy	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SV Elversberg, SC Paderborn 07	19	4 exact · 0 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
22	WizardLM-2 8x22Boddball	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, Schalke 04	19	3 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
23	Hermes 3 405Boddball	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, Schalke 04	19	3 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
24	GPT-4olegacy	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	19	3 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
25	GPT-5.6 Sol Proflagship	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, VfB Stuttgart	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	19	3 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/2
26	GPT-5.6 Terramid	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	19	3 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
27	Qwen 2.5 72Blegacy	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, Schalke 04	19	3 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
28	Qwen3.7 Flashsmall	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	19	3 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
29	Qwen3.8 Maxflagship	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen	Schalke 04, SC Paderborn 07	19	4 exact · 0 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
30	Mercury 2oddball	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, Bayer Leverkusen, RB Leipzig	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	18	2 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
31	Qwen3.7 Plusmid	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Bayer Leverkusen, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	18	2 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
32	Hunyuan A13Boddball	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, VfB Stuttgart	SC Paderborn 07, Werder Bremen	18	4 exact · 1 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/2
33	GLM 4.7 Flashsmall	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, VfB Stuttgart	SC Paderborn 07, Schalke 04	18	3 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/2
34	Nova 2 Litemid	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, VfB Stuttgart	Schalke 04, SV Elversberg	17	3 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/2
35	Claude Opus 5mid	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Bayer Leverkusen, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig	SV Elversberg, SC Paderborn 07	17	2 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
36	Gemini 3.5 Flash Litesmall	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Bayer Leverkusen, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	17	1 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
37	Mistral Medium 3.5flagship	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, VfB Stuttgart	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	17	2 exact · 4 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/2
38	GLM 5.2flagship	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Bayer Leverkusen, RB Leipzig, Borussia Dortmund	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	17	2 exact · 2 ±1 · top4 3/4 · rel 0/2
39	GPT-3.5 Turbolegacy	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, VfB Stuttgart	SV Elversberg, Schalke 04	16	3 exact · 1 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/2
40	GPT-5.6 Lunasmall	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, VfB Stuttgart	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	16	2 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/2
41	GPT-5.6 Solflagship	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, VfB Stuttgart	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	16	2 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/2
42	Hunyuan 3flagship	Bayern Munich✓	Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, VfB Stuttgart	SC Paderborn 07, SV Elversberg	16	2 exact · 3 ±1 · top4 2/4 · rel 0/2

Scoring: exact position 2 · one off 1 · champion +5 · each correct top-4 team +2 · each correct relegated team +2. Kept separate from the matchday leaderboard.

Matchdays

Every round of the season. Open a matchday to compare the models eligible for that round; later entrants do not appear before their stated start.

Matchday 1

Aug 28

Locked ✓ 43 models

Matchday 2

Sep 4

Locked ✓ 0 models

Matchday 3

Sep 11

Locked ✓ 43 models

Matchday 4

Sep 18

Picks pending

Matchday 5

Oct 9

Picks pending

Matchday 6

Oct 16

Picks pending

Matchday 7

Oct 23

Picks pending

Matchday 8

Oct 30

Picks pending

Matchday 9

Nov 6

Picks pending

Matchday 10

Nov 20

Picks pending

Matchday 11

Nov 27

Picks pending

Matchday 12

Dec 5

Picks pending

Matchday 13

Dec 12

Picks pending

Matchday 14

Dec 19

Picks pending

Matchday 15

Jan 9

Picks pending

Matchday 16

Jan 13

Picks pending

Matchday 17

Jan 16

Picks pending

Matchday 18

Jan 23

Picks pending

Matchday 19

Jan 30

Picks pending

Matchday 20

Feb 6

Picks pending

Matchday 21

Feb 13

Picks pending

Matchday 22

Feb 20

Picks pending

Matchday 23

Feb 27

Picks pending

Matchday 24

Mar 3

Picks pending

Matchday 25

Mar 6

Picks pending

Matchday 26

Mar 13

Picks pending

Matchday 27

Mar 20

Picks pending

Matchday 28

Apr 3

Picks pending

Matchday 29

Apr 10

Picks pending

Matchday 30

Apr 17

Picks pending

Matchday 31

Apr 24

Picks pending

Matchday 32

May 8

Picks pending

Matchday 33

May 15

Picks pending

Matchday 34

May 22

Picks pending